Agentic AI News

Foro Excélsior Industria 4.0 Presented by BYD on June 25 Highlights AI, Mobility, Innovation, and Mexico’s $9 Billion AI Investment Plan

1 month ago

AI coding agent forecasts from my blog post, through July 4, 2026

Jul 5, 7:26 AMJul 4, 11:59 PM

239556

OptionProbability

Coding agents will close the loop

Coding agents will flip the initiative

“Live learning” will be standard

The multi-agent paradigm will win

The specific model will not matter as much as today; the network of agents will be important

Recursively improving coding agents will succeed in the market

xAI will gain a sizable lead in model quality

Will a paper solely authored by an AI research agent receive at least 100 citations by EOY 2025?

Aug 15, 12:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

6.88%chance

455745

OptionVotes

YES

3680

272

Computer-use AI agent gets scammed / falls victim to a phishing attack, in 2025?

Jan 23, 6:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.16%chance

333791

OptionVotes

YES

2010

498

4. Web agents will go mainstream, becoming the next major killer application in consumer AI.

Dec 27, 8:15 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

54.88%chance

242972

OptionVotes

YES

1103

907

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2026?

Jan 21, 3:07 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

32.17%chance

212448

OptionVotes

YES

1452

689

Before July 2026, will I personally see an online ad which is obviously a prompt injection attack for AI agents?

Jan 29, 7:31 AMJun 2, 6:59 AM

38.69%chance

11944

OptionVotes

YES

1259

794

Will an AI agent be able to draw a mid-2024-diffusion-model-quality image in a standard drawing program by 2027?

Sep 2, 6:22 PMJan 1, 6:59 PM

59.87%chance

10781

OptionVotes

YES

1224

822

Will there be a highly risky or catastrophic AI agent proliferation event before 2035?

Feb 16, 6:18 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

68.74%chance

16420

OptionVotes

YES

332

109

Will @Mira do anything publicly impressive with AI agents by EOY 2026?

Feb 12, 10:21 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30.06%chance

12213

OptionVotes

YES

153

Voice activated text selection supported by AI agent on Android by mid-2026

Oct 14, 3:18 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

53%chance

3151

OptionVotes

YES

1062

942

Will "A basic systems architecture for AI agents th..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Sep 24, 2:37 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.17%chance

1150

OptionVotes

YES

1149

978

Will adept.ai (or some other agent AI) be able to create an account and batch-write questions from a .txt file onto manifold.markets by the end of 2025?

Feb 20, 7:32 AMMar 1, 4:59 AM

65.17%chance

498

OptionVotes

YES

148

116

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Jun 26, 2025
Jun 26, 2025
Mexico
AI Modeling
AI Fundraising
Foro Excélsior Industria 4.0 Presented by BYD on June 25 Highlights AI, Mobility, Innovation, and Mexico’s $9 Billion AI Investment Plan
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1 month ago

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AI coding agent forecasts from my blog post, through July 4, 2026

Will a paper solely authored by an AI research agent receive at least 100 citations by EOY 2025?

Computer-use AI agent gets scammed / falls victim to a phishing attack, in 2025?

4. Web agents will go mainstream, becoming the next major killer application in consumer AI.

Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2026?

Before July 2026, will I personally see an online ad which is obviously a prompt injection attack for AI agents?

Will an AI agent be able to draw a mid-2024-diffusion-model-quality image in a standard drawing program by 2027?

Will there be a highly risky or catastrophic AI agent proliferation event before 2035?

Will @Mira do anything publicly impressive with AI agents by EOY 2026?

Voice activated text selection supported by AI agent on Android by mid-2026

Will "A basic systems architecture for AI agents th..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Will adept.ai (or some other agent AI) be able to create an account and batch-write questions from a .txt file onto manifold.markets by the end of 2025?

Latest stories

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