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Top stories

YZi Labs Backs USD AI Stablecoin in Push Into AI-Linked DeFi

YZi Labs Backs USD AI Stablecoin in Push Into AI-Linked DeFi

Authors

3

1 year ago

Musk’s xAI Launches ‘Macrohard’ to Build AI-Run Rival to Microsoft

Musk’s xAI Launches ‘Macrohard’ to Build AI-Run Rival to Microsoft

Authors

11

1 year ago

Nvidia, Led by Jensen Huang and Wedbush’s Daniel Ives, Projected to Reach $5 Trillion Amid AI Revolution and Robust Earnings

Company Earnings

Nvidia, Led by Jensen Huang and Wedbush’s Daniel Ives, Projected to Reach $5 Trillion Amid AI Revolution and Robust Earnings

Authors

4

1 year ago

Elon Musk’s xAI Sought Zuckerberg’s Support for $97.4 Billion OpenAI Bid; Legal Battle Over Documents Ensues

Authors

20

1 year ago

Google Raises TeraWulf Stake to 14% on Lake Mariner Expansion

Authors

31

1 year ago

Musk Tests X Feed on Grok 4 Mini, Eyes 20,000-GPU Rollout

Authors

11

1 year ago

Galaxy Digital Secures $1.4 B to Expand Texas AI Data Center

Authors

10

1 year ago

Prediction markets for AI

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Feb 20, 10:47 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

45%chance

475814556990

OptionVotes

NO

YES

22644

18107

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

May 5, 11:03 AMJan 2, 1:16 AM

7%chance

11317432934

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5174

2211

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Feb 4, 10:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.84%chance

8174171933

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3512

1821

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2040?

Mar 11, 5:11 PMJan 2, 10:00 AM

7.89%chance

4811718067

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4979

1793

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Feb 14, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.69%chance

998752698

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12331

8038

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

27.86%chance

653719860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5791

4783

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

5.21%chance

858583544

OptionVotes

YES

NO

89425

8110

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Feb 26, 6:16 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

11.35%chance

210282771

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4387

1304

In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?

Feb 20, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

89%chance

530230132

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12091

5829

Will AI resolve P vs NP by 2050?

Jan 31, 12:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.13%chance

11354659

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4779

831

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Mar 14, 8:29 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

54.8%chance

22150925

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2550

1100

Rogue AIs before 2028?

Aug 31, 5:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.76%chance

19634838

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15292

8192

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