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Top stories

YZi Labs Backs USD AI Stablecoin in Push Into AI-Linked DeFi

YZi Labs Backs USD AI Stablecoin in Push Into AI-Linked DeFi

Authors

3

3 months ago

Musk’s xAI Launches ‘Macrohard’ to Build AI-Run Rival to Microsoft

Musk’s xAI Launches ‘Macrohard’ to Build AI-Run Rival to Microsoft

Authors

11

3 months ago

Nvidia, Led by Jensen Huang and Wedbush’s Daniel Ives, Projected to Reach $5 Trillion Amid AI Revolution and Robust Earnings

Company Earnings

Nvidia, Led by Jensen Huang and Wedbush’s Daniel Ives, Projected to Reach $5 Trillion Amid AI Revolution and Robust Earnings

Authors

4

3 months ago

Elon Musk’s xAI Sought Zuckerberg’s Support for $97.4 Billion OpenAI Bid; Legal Battle Over Documents Ensues

Authors

20

3 months ago

Google Raises TeraWulf Stake to 14% on Lake Mariner Expansion

Authors

31

4 months ago

Musk Tests X Feed on Grok 4 Mini, Eyes 20,000-GPU Rollout

Authors

11

4 months ago

Galaxy Digital Secures $1.4 B to Expand Texas AI Data Center

Authors

10

4 months ago

Prediction markets for AI

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Feb 20, 10:47 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

27.28%chance

412611081532

OptionVotes

YES

NO

28995

16621

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

May 5, 11:03 AMJan 2, 1:16 AM

4%chance

10847145904

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8555

2023

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Feb 4, 10:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.76%chance

8034170194

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3529

1819

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Feb 20, 10:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.7%chance

24871933296

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9966

2320

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Feb 14, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.45%chance

958695692

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10084

9803

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

12.63%chance

802467730

OptionVotes

YES

NO

48915

11661

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.59%chance

472396309

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3236

1913

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.32%chance

480364022

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2874

2054

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Feb 26, 6:16 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

12.09%chance

201282138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4175

1332

Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?

Mar 11, 6:21 AMMar 18, 6:59 AM

59.04%chance

194268635

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5839

3348

In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?

Feb 20, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

86.08%chance

503200664

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5243

1084

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?

Jan 28, 4:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

75%chance

293194677

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2746

1002

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