OptionProbability
No default amongst those listed before 2030
JetBlue
Bermudair
Frontier
Avelo
Allegiant Air
United
American
Southwest
Alaska
Lufthansa
Air Canada
Ryanair
Qantas
Cathay Pacific
KLM
Turkish Airlines
Qatar Airlines
Virgin Atlantic
Iberia
LATAM
Aeromexico
Air New Zealand
Breeze
Sun Country
Emirates
Singapore Airlines
ANA
21
18
8
6
4
3
2
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
2398
808
1628
Multiple parties (shared responsibility)
Other
Air Traffic Controller
Fire Fighters
Flight Crew (pilot/co-pilot)
Investigation inconclusive
57
22
15
China will dominate the global economy.
The AI bubble will NOT pop.
The trade war will broaden.
More and more governments will hit a debt limit.
China will blockade Taiwan.
72
63
59
44
5
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