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Airbnb News

    Prediction markets for Airbnb

    1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

    Dec 28, 11:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    77.29%chance
    6420347

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1846

    542

    OptionProbability

    Motorola

    Bed Bath & Beyond

    Bath & Body Works

    Airbnb

    Jetblue Airways

    Ford

    Uber

    Starbucks

    Nike

    Dollar General

    eBay

    The Home Depot

    Cigna

    Costco

    CVS Health

    Walmart

    Apple

    89

    89

    88

    60

    59

    59

    54

    52

    50

    50

    46

    34

    34

    24

    21

    14

    4

    OptionProbability

    Glass of Thrones letdown (polished)

    Watching Harry Potter 1 on airplane and rewinding and quoting over and over the meme wizard chess section

    Quick dialog sketch: "Oh my gosh a black cat, we're going to have so much bad luck now" "Wait you don't really believe in that kind of stuff do you?" "See look we're already fighting :("

    Friend who took a long time in the bathroom

    Coaching my girlfriend to queue up match highlights from another room to avoid spoilers

    Spies when they accidentally bite the poison pill hidden in their tooth

    Sketchy human ATM

    Depression after a team I never heard of loses

    Before Sunrise POV in record shop

    Whatever the next clip of me doing standup is

    Nervously removing a bunch of 'remove before flight' aviation tags from the counter of a helicopter tour company

    Glass of Thrones letdown

    Remembering that PBR was a thing

    Gross side of owls delivering mail in the great hall

    A compilation of OpenAI employees interrupting ChatGPT (and potentially gradually fading to a scene from terminator)

    Demo of the new ChatGPT but it's way too flirty

    Candy addiction hotline

    Having a bone to pick with soccer players doing a “bow and arrow” celebration but letting go of the bow

    Friend who thinks they're safety officer

    Brainstorming how to become viral

    Slytherin doing the math

    Cheap Airbnb tour

    American Express review

    Future Me

    How it feels logging in with authenticator (shot in the style of dramatically diffusing a bomb)

    NFC Translation

    Satire of sales ads

    Saying "Damn" in front of a dam.

    Every time I try to order a beer

    Dreamy nonsensical philosophy shot

    Thinking I'm admiring the view from the Tokyo Skytower only to reveal that I don't realize I'm actually at the base of it.

    100

    100

    100

    76

    75

    71

    69

    68

    66

    66

    62

    59

    59

    59

    58

    58

    56

    55

    54

    53

    53

    51

    50

    50

    50

    48

    46

    45

    41

    37

    0

    OptionProbability

    Other

    SF

    Parents' house (southeast)

    South Dakota (domicile)

    North Carolina (Raleigh-Durham area)

    Seattle

    NYC

    23

    17

    14

    14

    12

    10

    10

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