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Prediction markets for Al Jazeera
OptionVotes
2506
400
Assembly of Experts hit by US or Israeli attack in 2026 and at least one cleric dies
Mar 2, 4:43 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6.72%chance
2710998
OptionVotes
3725
268
China will directly engage in a military conflict before end of 2026
Mar 11, 12:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.11%chance
333262
OptionVotes
3365
297
Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever go to prison/jail? 🇮🇱👩⚖️🏛️
Mar 2, 5:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
17.59%chance
482398
OptionVotes
1768
737
Will the current wave of Iranian protests be suppressed by the end of 2026?
Jan 4, 10:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
87.13%chance
291546
OptionVotes
260
38
OptionVotes
292
34
Which of the following media outlets will close *or* undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028?
Mar 2, 3:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
16811
OptionProbability
92
72
72
72
69
66
66
56
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
46
45
42
41
39
34
34
34
20
9
OptionProbability
82
10
6
2
Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?
Jan 21, 6:19 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
8.63%chance
7448
OptionVotes
325
31
Alliance of Sahel States establish a federal state (country) during which years? (Niger, Burkina Faso, Mali)
Jun 12, 1:26 PMJan 3, 11:59 PM
4388
OptionProbability
34
20
20
17
10
Will The US Hold Captive A Iranian Leader By 4th Of July?
Mar 23, 1:53 AMJan 1, 2:53 AM
12%chance
13352
OptionVotes
271
37
Global media opinion of Obama will improve from EOY 2023 to mid year 2027, according to OpenAI's best LLM
Dec 18, 9:57 PMJul 1, 5:59 AM
66.12%chance
435
OptionVotes
70
36
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