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Prediction markets for Alibaba Group
Who will release the first model to be credibly accused of being responsible for at least 100 deaths?
Sep 30, 4:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
292966
OptionProbability
42
19
9
8
5
5
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
Who will publicly release the first language model to be credibly accused of being responsible for 100 deaths?
Oct 5, 2:30 AMDec 13, 7:59 AM
21733
OptionProbability
17
16
15
11
9
9
6
6
4
4
3
2
Will Alibaba close at or above HK$123 on September 30, 2026?
Aug 24, 3:24 PMSep 29, 8:00 PM
20.07%chance
3143
OptionVotes
180
68
Will Daniel Zhang (CEO of Alibaba) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Apr 27, 2:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.48%chance
6125
OptionVotes
217
97
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