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Amazon Prime News

    Prediction markets for Amazon Prime

    OptionProbability

    human steps on moon again

    Bitcoin reaches 180K usd or more

    Saw XI Releases in USA

    Ark Survival Evolved 2 releases

    Bitcoin reaches 150K usd or more

    fable (2026) releases

    trump dies

    stripe ipo happens

    biden dies

    trump is impeached by either house OR senate

    grok 6 release date

    Bitcoin reaches 125K usd or more

    windows 12 announcement is made

    Netanyahu out as PM of israel

    Earthquake magnitude 8.5 or higher somewhere in the world

    trump bombs / invades / attacks mexican territory

    Tom Scott's 'this video' reaches 80M views on Youtube

    polymarket or kalshi release a credit/debit card

    putin or zelensky lose power

    Chat GPT 6 releases to the general userbase

    israel opens an embassy in syria, OR announces it will

    Bitcoin reaches 130K usd or more

    anthropic stock able to be bought on nyse

    discord IPO happens

    polymarket or kalshi ipo

    haunted chocolatier release date known

    GenoSamuel releases Chris Chan History #86

    yoko ono passes away

    noam chomsky passes away

    Ukraine and Russia announce any ceasefire

    commercial airline hijacked

    EOD Boxing Day - Dec 26

    playstation 6 announced

    new super smash bros game announced (NOT A REMAKE)

    manifold raises more money

    tropico 7 releases

    twitter/x releases x mail to some users

    iphone fold release date known

    openai loses another board member, or sam altman no longer ceo

    Prong.Studio releases a 3rd product (not an accessory or part for an existing one)

    Cy Young award winner announced

    Third dune movie officially announced

    beyonce releases an album

    playboi carti releases an album

    apple announces a smart ring

    EOD Thanksgiving - Nov 27

    nobel peace prize winner announced

    Hades 3 announced (game)

    apple announces a touchscreen laptop

    Earthquake magnitude 8.0 or higher somewhere in the world

    Patriot Games ending day

    EOD Halloween - Oct 31

    Legally Blonde 3 release date announced

    First game of the MLB World Series starts

    Last game of the MLB World Series ends

    fourth Knives Out movie announced

    Patriot Games starting day

    EOD Lief Erikson Day - Oct 9

    the first Solar eclipse of the year

    coup in an african country

    Spacex launches 100th rocket in one year

    someone reaches 100k traders on the creator leaderboard

    llama 5 release date

    Twitter releases a Peer to Peer payment system to free or premium users

    Israel and Hamas announce another temporary ceasefire OR permanent ceasefire OR conflict otherwise ends

    the second Atlantic hurricane of the season

    the second Pacific hurricane of the season

    onepieceexplained reaches 15k subs on youtube

    fifa world cup - last game ends

    grok 5 release date

    EOD Fourth of July - Jul 4

    Taylor swift gets married

    the first Atlantic hurricane of the season

    the first Pacific hurricane of the season

    ozempic/wegovy/glp-1 pill approved by the fda

    Spacex launches 75th rocket of the year

    marijuana rescheduled as a drug in the USA

    the start of Amazon Prime Day(s)

    Kier Starmer out

    alan greenspan passes away

    Manifest 2026 starts

    spacex IPO happens

    drake releases an album

    EOD Cinco De Mayo - May 5

    another trump assassination attempt

    Spacex launches 50th rocket of the year

    Last day of the NFL draft

    undersea cables reported cut around taiwan

    Imu face reveal in One Piece manga

    artemis II mission launches

    EOD Ides of March - Mar 15

    new iphone releases (in the USA)

    English Wikipedia reaches 7.2M ARTICLES or more

    trump removes a cabinet member

    First Apple Event of the year

    the first Lunar eclipse of the year

    Spacex launches 25th rocket of the year

    manifold launches real money trading

    EOD Fat Tuesday/Mardi Gras

    nioh 3 releases in the usa (game)

    First Nintendo direct of the year

    doomsday clock announcement made

    98

    97

    95

    94

    94

    93

    93

    93

    92

    90

    87

    87

    87

    87

    85

    84

    83

    83

    83

    80

    76

    72

    71

    70

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    65

    63

    59

    59

    59

    59

    59

    59

    59

    59

    59

    59

    59

    57

    55

    55

    54

    54

    52

    52

    51

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    46

    46

    46

    43

    41

    37

    36

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    29

    28

    28

    27

    27

    27

    25

    25

    24

    23

    22

    21

    20

    19

    18

    17

    16

    15

    14

    13

    12

    11

    10

    9

    9

    8

    7

    6

    5

    4

    3

    2

    1

    OptionProbability

    December 2026

    June 2026

    July 2026

    August 2026

    September 2026

    October 2026

    November 2026

    May 2026

    Not available in 2026

    April 2026

    35

    9

    9

    9

    9

    9

    9

    6

    4

    1

    OptionProbability

    Before 2033

    Before 2032

    Before 2031

    Before 2030

    Before 2029

    Before 2028

    87

    77

    59

    38

    27

    11

    Will The Expanse TV show return to finish the story?

    Sep 10, 11:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    50.99%chance
    17377

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1043

    943

    OptionProbability

    Paramount+

    Peacock

    Hulu

    Apple TV+

    Max

    Disney+

    Amazon Prime Video

    Netflix

    41

    23

    19

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    Will there be a trailer for Lars of the Stars before 2027?

    Dec 13, 2:53 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    80%chance
    3100

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    200

    50

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    166

    60

    OptionProbability

    No.

    Yes: Netflix

    Yes: Amazon Prime Video

    Yes: Apple TV+

    Yes: Disney+

    Yes: HBO Max

    Yes: Hulu

    Yes: Paramount+

    Yes: Peacock

    Other

    77

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    133

    94

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