America Party News

Will any current Congress member join the America Party in 2025?

Jul 5, 8:16 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

8.88%chance

303709

OptionVotes

YES

3204

312

Elon elected to public office as America Party member?

Jul 6, 7:05 PMDec 31, 8:04 PM

5.7%chance

643008

OptionVotes

YES

407

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.76%chance

141621

OptionVotes

YES

1613

620

Will America remain a two-party system until February 2040?

Dec 11, 3:04 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

71.87%chance

171481

OptionVotes

YES

1127

937

What will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026?

Jul 8, 4:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

461300

OptionProbability

has an official twitter feed

registered with the FEC

has had a 6 month period with no public mention from Musk

runs a candidate in a federal election

endorses a republican candidate (primary or general)

runs a candidate in a state or local election

takes donations

is an organization with verified full time employees

endorses a democrat candidate (primary or general)

If Trump doesn't win, will America become a single-party socialist state?

Oct 6, 4:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2.22%chance

6981

OptionVotes

YES

664

Will the America Party be more successful than the Forward Party by the 2026 midterm elections?

Jul 6, 8:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.43%chance

13714

OptionVotes

YES

1165

859

Will the America party run a candidate in the 2028 election?

Jul 6, 4:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

19576

OptionVotes

YES

238

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?

Jul 10, 1:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.73%chance

13546

OptionVotes

YES

1158

864

Will America remain a two-party system until 2050?

Dec 29, 6:53 PMJan 6, 4:59 AM

68.47%chance

15375

OptionVotes

YES

1042

877

Will America remain a two-party system until 2032?

Nov 26, 5:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

88.64%chance

12325

OptionVotes

YES

1051

967

Will any America Party candidate appear on a federal midterm election ballot in 2026?

Jul 5, 8:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.42%chance

6215

OptionVotes

YES

1053

950

America Party News

Prediction markets for America Party

Prediction markets for America Party

Prediction markets for America Party

Will any current Congress member join the America Party in 2025?

Elon elected to public office as America Party member?

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Will America remain a two-party system until February 2040?

What will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026?

If Trump doesn't win, will America become a single-party socialist state?

Will the America Party be more successful than the Forward Party by the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the America party run a candidate in the 2028 election?

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?

Will America remain a two-party system until 2050?

Will America remain a two-party system until 2032?

Will any America Party candidate appear on a federal midterm election ballot in 2026?

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