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Analogue News
Prediction markets for Analogue
Prediction markets for Analogue
Will there be an analogue of executive order 6102 for crypto, making ownership illegal?
Aug 23, 7:17 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
11.16%
chance
48
1640
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1434
906
When will the last SpaceX Falcon 9 / Falcon Heavy launch be?
Jul 18, 4:15 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
35.95%
chance
13
366
Option
Probability
YES
NO
1096
941
Will LLM inference for the largest models run on analogue circuitry as the primary element of computuation by end 2028?
Nov 26, 3:57 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
18.74%
chance
5
157
Option
Votes
YES
NO
193
97
Will a semaglutide analogue be included in a Sims-like game by EOY 2029?
Jan 22, 9:10 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
78.48%
chance
6
115
Option
Votes
NO
YES
150
87
Will a dengue vaccine based on TV003/TV005 be approved before 2050?
Jan 4, 12:34 AM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
60.73%
chance
4
43
Option
Votes
NO
YES
331
294
Will chatGPT (or an analogue) be able to query the entire text of anyone's entire Goodreads collection list by EOY 2027?
Feb 22, 2:56 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
66.22%
chance
1
20
Option
Votes
NO
YES
90
56
Will rewind.ai (or an analogue to it) exist for Microsoft Windows by EOY 2025?
Feb 11, 7:34 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
50
50
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