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Prediction markets for Analogue
Will there be an analogue of executive order 6102 for crypto, making ownership illegal?
Aug 23, 7:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.11%chance
502040
OptionVotes
1147
947
OptionVotes
431
209
When will the last SpaceX Falcon 9 / Falcon Heavy launch be?
Jul 18, 4:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
36%chance
15536
OptionProbability
1095
941
Will LLM inference for the largest models run on analogue circuitry as the primary element of computuation by end 2028?
Nov 26, 3:57 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
18.74%chance
5157
OptionVotes
193
97
Will a semaglutide analogue be included in a Sims-like game by EOY 2029?
Jan 22, 9:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
78.48%chance
6115
OptionVotes
150
87
Will a dengue vaccine based on TV003/TV005 be approved before 2050?
Jan 4, 12:34 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM
61.94%chance
553
OptionVotes
341
288
Will there be a psychedelics + closed-loop TMS paper by EOY2028?
Nov 11, 11:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
56.48%chance
451
OptionVotes
114
88
Will chatGPT (or an analogue) be able to query the entire text of anyone's entire Goodreads collection list by EOY 2027?
Feb 22, 2:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
66.22%chance
120
OptionVotes
90
56
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