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Prediction markets for Analogue
OptionVotes
3305
2189
Will there be an analogue of executive order 6102 for crypto, making ownership illegal?
Aug 23, 7:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.34%chance
512161
OptionVotes
1057
962
When will the last SpaceX Falcon 9 / Falcon Heavy launch be?
Jul 18, 4:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
27.17%chance
171274
OptionProbability
1403
800
Will LLM inference for the largest models run on analogue circuitry as the primary element of computuation by end 2028?
Nov 26, 3:57 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
17.64%chance
6167
OptionVotes
203
95
Will a semaglutide analogue be included in a Sims-like game by EOY 2029?
Jan 22, 9:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
78.48%chance
6115
OptionVotes
150
87
Will there be a psychedelics + closed-loop TMS paper by EOY2028?
Nov 11, 11:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
60.64%chance
458
OptionVotes
124
81
Will a dengue vaccine based on TV003/TV005 be approved before 2050?
Jan 4, 12:34 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM
61.94%chance
553
OptionVotes
341
288
Will chatGPT (or an analogue) be able to query the entire text of anyone's entire Goodreads collection list by EOY 2027?
Feb 22, 2:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
66.22%chance
120
OptionVotes
90
56
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