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Will Brightline West begin service of a high-speed rail route between Los Angeles and Las Vegas by 2028?
Jul 3, 2:17 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM
1.94%chance
66934
OptionVotes
7101
141
OptionProbability
67
33
OptionProbability
37
21
15
11
7
5
3
1
Will Jim Harbaugh win a Super Bowl with the Los Angeles Chargers before April 2029?
Jan 25, 12:15 AMApr 2, 6:59 AM
8.49%chance
272687
OptionVotes
2574
766
Will the U.S. win the gold medal in Men's Basketball at the 2028 Summer Olympics in Los Angeles?
Aug 11, 1:46 AMOct 2, 4:59 AM
69.3%chance
212105
OptionVotes
1503
666
Will the Seattle Seahawks or Los Angeles Rams win 2027 Super Bowl?
Feb 12, 2:42 AMFeb 14, 11:59 PM
17.52%chance
171357
OptionVotes
1139
968
OptionVotes
1230
928
Will it be possible to take a train from Los Angeles to San Francisco in under 5 hours in 2040?
Sep 23, 4:53 AMJan 19, 5:54 AM
56.35%chance
21860
OptionVotes
1018
966
Will India win a gold medal in the men's Twenty20 Cricket at the 2028 Summer Olympics in Los Angeles?
Aug 13, 5:21 AMSep 20, 2:29 PM
53.47%chance
11857
OptionVotes
150
148
Will a commercial non-stop flight between Los Angeles and Yerevan exist before the end of 2027?
Nov 4, 3:51 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
12.18%chance
3819
OptionVotes
1306
348
OptionProbability
76
24
Will "Guardian Angels: LLM Personalization for Prod..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Jun 21, 5:06 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14.29%chance
215
OptionVotes
1003
979
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