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Antifa News

    Prediction markets for Antifa

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    8005

    665

    OptionProbability

    Shooter captured alive before Oct. 1st

    Charlie Kirk receives Presidential Medal of Freedom

    Evan permabanned from Manifold

    Any left-wing group is legally designated as a "terrorist organization"

    Jimmy Kimmel is reinstated.

    Jimmy Kimmel returns to air on Sinclair stations

    Charlie Kirk dies

    Charlie Kirk remains no longer alive

    government employee fired for personal statements on kirk is reinstated or wins employment/first amendment lawsuit about firing

    South Park does an episode that alludes to it

    Over 1 million combined lifetime student memberships and faith initiatives by Nov 2026

    Increased stigma towards sexual "deviants" in the US

    Federal investigation started into "funders" of "the left"

    Another left-wing group is legally declared a terrorist organization.

    At least 10 people deported because of anti-Charlie Kirk comments

    A member of a prominent left-leaning organization is arrested.

    Another political assassination (either side)

    event with left leaning speaker canceled on a different campus by that school's admin and cancellation explicitly references shooting

    Search warrant/subpoena executed against an individual citing social media posts about the shooting

    Federal bill/EO to restrict/prevent transgender gun ownership

    At least once person is hospitalized or killed in a violent incident started by someone who thinks they are retaliating for Kirk's death

    The FCC revokes a station’s broadcast license over any misinformation about Kirk.

    Seth Meyers fired, or show cancelled.

    Any House Democrat is censured for comments on Kirk.

    Search warrant/subpoena executed against a journalist citing social media posts about the shooting

    Jimmy Fallon fired, or show cancelled.

    "Groyper War 3" declared by Nick Fuentes or one of his generals

    South Park episode canceled (not delayed)

    Jezebel writer Claire Guinan testifies that she doesn't believe in witchcraft.

    arson attack against gender clinic

    BBC does piece on furries that mentions Tyler Robinson

    80s-style moral panic over furries

    Trump invokes the Insurrection Act and/or declares martial law.

    Actblue specifically is labelled a terrorist organization or shut down

    A furry website is hacked and the users are doxxed

    event with right leaning speaker canceled on a different campus by that school's admin and cancellation explicitly references shooting

    A prominent anti-Trump journalist is arrested.

    Upcoming issues of Absolute Batman pulled

    Statue of Charlie Kirk erected in the capitol

    Information reward money paid

    high ranking fed (elected, political appointee, or LEO) acting in an official capacity names a suspect later exonerated

    At least one furry convention canceled

    Robinson's roommate charged with any crime related to the assassination

    TPUSA supports a gun control bill

    Any Democratic politician is arrested

    5+ reporters/columnists fired (across any outlets)

    Kirk or the assassination referenced explicitly in super bowl ad

    Any news organization is shut down

    Any left-wing NGO is shut down

    South Park canceled

    NYT reporter / opinion columnist fired

    "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" ends, or Jimmy Kimmel is fired/resigns

    Federal bill named in tribute to Charlie Kirk is signed into law

    Kash Patel fired

    At least 100 people are arrested on Antifa charges.

    National Guard deployed to anywhere in Utah (explicitly linked to Kirk)

    Charlie Kirk is the most viewed article on Wikipedia in 2025

    Trump initiates a large-scale crackdown on civil liberties in response.

    Discord or Bluesky removed from the App Store or Play Store

    America becomes a one-party GOP state.

    5 swatting attacks reported on (not before) 9/12

    Trump receives a “rally around the flag” bump in approval ratings (net approval increases by more than 3 points in the following two weeks according to silver bulletin)

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    99

    90

    75

    72

    70

    59

    53

    45

    44

    42

    37

    35

    34

    34

    32

    32

    28

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    23

    22

    22

    22

    21

    20

    18

    17

    16

    15

    15

    15

    15

    12

    11

    10

    10

    10

    9

    9

    9

    8

    8

    7

    7

    7

    5

    5

    4

    4

    0

    0

    0

    What Will Happen: Dutch Elections 2025

    Jun 9, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    269460

    OptionProbability

    VVD will be among the 3 biggest parties

    VVD will be among the 4 biggest parties

    PVV will get 29 seats or less

    50Plus gets at least 1 seat

    D66 will be in Top 3 Biggest Parties

    At least 1 party leader resigns

    D66 leader becomes Prime Minister

    No cabinet before municipal election

    Housing will be the biggest topic in the campaigns

    CDA and PvdA/GL will both join coalition

    CDA and JA21 both join the coalition

    PvdA/GL and VVD will both join coalition

    Coalition unable to be formed, triggers new election

    Coalition is formed before 1st of January 2026

    New general elections before getting a cabinet

    Henri Bontenbal becomes Prime Minister

    VVD or BBB will also leave remaining coalition

    PVV leader becomes Prime Minister

    Schoof remains Prime Minister in new coalition

    PVV will become the biggest party

    VVD will pick a new party leader

    PvdA/GL will have a new name before election day

    VVD will be open for coalition with PVV day after election day

    Dutch Elections will be delayed (not 29th of Oct)

    Schoof will join a party before election day

    Timmermans will be replaced before election day

    Migration will be the biggest topic again in the campaigns

    CDA will be among the 3 biggest parties

    A political candidate will be attack (fysical)

    Antifa demonstrates before the election in The Hague

    CDA will be among the 2 biggest parties

    JA21 will be bigger than D66

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    93

    52

    45

    43

    35

    33

    4

    3

    3

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2368

    422

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    10382

    9514

    Someone arrested for belonging to the Antifa in 2025?

    Sep 16, 12:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    15.94%chance
    291437

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    230

    44

    OptionProbability

    Cole is male

    FBI/DOJ say Cole acted alone

    Cole was a Trump supporter as of 1/5/21

    Cole will be convicted by jury

    Cole was an anarchist as of 1/5/2021

    Cole's intention for planting the pipe bombs was simply to cause chaos (without helping any side)

    Cole’s intention of planting the bombs was to aid the 1/6 rioters

    Cole was antifa as of 1/5/2021

    Cole was a Biden supporter as of 1/5/21

    99

    84

    82

    81

    65

    50

    24

    8

    8

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