Apollo News

Trump to Sign Executive Order Opening $9 Trillion 401(k) Market to Crypto, Gold, and Private Equity Investments

16 days ago

JPMorgan Names David Frame Global Head of Private Bank as Citigroup Boosts Middle East Hiring and Apollo Expands in Zurich

10 days ago

By the start of 2026, will any human being (save for the 12 Apollo astronauts who walked on the Moon) have walked on the surface of any celestial body other than Earth?

Nov 23, 10:43 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

2.17%chance

5317332

OptionVotes

YES

6960

660

When will a man land on the Moon for the first time since the Apollo missions?

Feb 28, 8:55 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

132520

OptionProbability

Before 2035

Before 2034

Before 2033

Before 2032

Before 2031

Before 2030

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

By 2032, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)

Jan 12, 2:58 AMJan 3, 7:29 PM

171500

OptionProbability

United States

China

Canada

India

Germany

France

Italy

Japan

United Kingdom

Russia

Will anyone break the Apollo 13 crew's record for furthest people from Earth before 2030?

Dec 15, 6:29 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

80%chance

171245

OptionVotes

YES

1144

935

Will more manned Artemis missions land on the moon than during Apollo?

Jan 18, 10:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.91%chance

201175

OptionVotes

YES

1594

530

Will a Manhattan/ Apollo type project towards AGI/ ASI be launched? (or has been)

Feb 6, 6:25 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

52%chance

181145

OptionVotes

YES

1330

422

How many Apollo moonwalkers will be alive when the next moonwalker returns to Earth?

Feb 1, 2:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15605

OptionProbability

Who will be the last surviving Apollo astronaut who walked on the moon?

Dec 24, 5:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5326

OptionProbability

David Scott

Buzz Aldrin

Harrison Hagan Schmitt

Other

Charles Duke Jr

meh

Will Apollo Research (new AI evals org) shut down before 2028?

Jun 5, 11:00 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

24.79%chance

12296

OptionVotes

YES

1172

900

Who will be the last surviving Apollo astronaut? (both among moonwalkers and non-moonwalkers)

Dec 24, 7:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8247

OptionProbability

Charles Duke

Harrison Schmitt

James A. Lovell Jr.

Fred W. Haise Jr.

Buzz Aldrin

David Scott

Other

Frank Borman

Thomas K. Mattingly II

Thomas Stafford

Will ANY Gemini or Apollo astronaut become centenarian?

Mar 10, 4:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.64%chance

OptionVotes

YES

105

Which Apollo astronaut will be the last to get around without needing to use a wheelchair?

Sep 11, 12:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

OptionProbability

Other

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Prediction markets for Apollo

Prediction markets for Apollo

Prediction markets for Apollo

By the start of 2026, will any human being (save for the 12 Apollo astronauts who walked on the Moon) have walked on the surface of any celestial body other than Earth?

When will a man land on the Moon for the first time since the Apollo missions?

By 2032, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)

Will anyone break the Apollo 13 crew's record for furthest people from Earth before 2030?

Will more manned Artemis missions land on the moon than during Apollo?

Will a Manhattan/ Apollo type project towards AGI/ ASI be launched? (or has been)

How many Apollo moonwalkers will be alive when the next moonwalker returns to Earth?

Who will be the last surviving Apollo astronaut who walked on the moon?

Will Apollo Research (new AI evals org) shut down before 2028?

Who will be the last surviving Apollo astronaut? (*both* among moonwalkers and non-moonwalkers)

Will ANY Gemini or Apollo astronaut become centenarian?

Which Apollo astronaut will be the last to get around without needing to use a wheelchair?

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Who will be the last surviving Apollo astronaut? (both among moonwalkers and non-moonwalkers)