Apollo News
Top stories
Apollo Insurer Warns Regulators of Conflict Risks at PE-Backed Rivals
Authors
5
7 months ago
Prediction markets for Apollo
Will the Artemis 2 crew break Apollo 13's human altitude record?
Oct 10, 3:10 AMApr 30, 10:59 PM
83.12%chance
214543
OptionVotes
2219
451
When will a man land on the Moon for the first time since the Apollo missions?
Feb 28, 8:55 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
183574
OptionProbability
92
91
85
80
76
64
33
3
1
By 2032, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)
Jan 12, 2:58 AMJan 3, 7:29 PM
211749
OptionProbability
84
80
40
40
40
40
39
39
33
10
Will anyone break the Apollo 13 crew's record for furthest people from Earth before 2030?
Dec 15, 6:29 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
80%chance
171245
OptionVotes
1144
935
Will more manned Artemis missions land on the moon than during Apollo?
Jan 18, 10:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
34.36%chance
211225
OptionVotes
1490
580
Will a Manhattan/ Apollo type project towards AGI/ ASI be launched? (or has been)
Feb 6, 6:25 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM
52%chance
181145
OptionVotes
1330
422
By 2030, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)
Jan 11, 2:27 PMJan 3, 7:29 PM
181106
OptionProbability
67
60
37
33
32
30
30
28
10
10
How many Apollo moonwalkers will be alive when the next moonwalker returns to Earth?
Feb 1, 2:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
15605
OptionProbability
40
29
22
7
2
Who will be the last surviving Apollo astronaut who walked on the moon?
Dec 24, 5:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5356
OptionProbability
41
31
15
7
5
1
Will Apollo Research (new AI evals org) shut down before 2028?
Jun 5, 11:00 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
24.02%chance
14331
OptionVotes
1207
889
Who will be the last surviving Apollo astronaut? (*both* among moonwalkers and non-moonwalkers)
Dec 24, 7:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8247
OptionProbability
29
19
15
12
9
5
4
3
2
2
OptionVotes
105
95
Latest stories
Latest stories
- Apollo Insurer Warns Regulators of Conflict Risks at PE-Backed RivalsAuthors57 months ago

