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Apollo Insurer Warns Regulators of Conflict Risks at PE-Backed Rivals
Authors
5
10 months ago
Prediction markets for Apollo
Will anyone break the Apollo 13 crew's record for furthest people from Earth before 2030?
Dec 15, 6:29 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
98.97%chance
2113711
OptionVotes
13099
444
When will a man land on the Moon for the first time since the Apollo missions?
Feb 28, 8:55 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
183574
OptionProbability
92
91
85
80
76
64
33
3
1
By 2032, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)
Jan 12, 2:58 AMJan 3, 7:29 PM
271871
OptionProbability
87
82
40
39
39
35
35
35
34
16
Will more manned Artemis missions land on the moon than during Apollo?
Jan 18, 10:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
34.36%chance
211225
OptionVotes
1490
580
Will a Manhattan/ Apollo type project towards AGI/ ASI be launched? (or has been)
Feb 6, 6:25 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM
52%chance
181145
OptionVotes
1330
422
Will there still be an Apollo moonwalker alive on the day the Artemis III crew walks on the moon?
Apr 11, 11:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
74.43%chance
12686
OptionVotes
171
59
How many Apollo moonwalkers will be alive when the next moonwalker returns to Earth?
Feb 1, 2:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
15605
OptionProbability
40
29
22
7
2
Will Apollo Research (new AI evals org) shut down before 2028?
Jun 5, 11:00 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
23.18%chance
15391
OptionVotes
1247
877
What will be the final net IRR for Apollo Investment Fund X? (X100)
Dec 7, 3:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
66.85%chance
2105
OptionProbability
375
196
Will the US launch a Manhattan Project / Apollo Program for AI safety by EOY 2030?
Jun 21, 10:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
40.34%chance
635
OptionVotes
122
82
OptionVotes
105
95
Which Apollo astronaut will be the last to get around without needing to use a wheelchair?
Sep 11, 12:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
00
OptionProbability
50
Latest stories
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- Apollo Insurer Warns Regulators of Conflict Risks at PE-Backed RivalsAuthors510 months ago