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Prediction markets for ARCH
Which Tier-1 studio/corporation will acquire The Architect (Siberian Node) first?
Apr 18, 11:54 AMDec 31, 12:21 PM
2034266
OptionProbability
96
2
1
0
0
0
Will we find something showing equal or greater architectural advancement to Gobekli Tepe, from before 11,000 BC?
Mar 4, 6:42 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM
33.07%chance
5810769
OptionVotes
11052
10904
OptionProbability
27
22
16
8
7
7
5
3
3
3
Major archaeological discovery rivaling Göbekli Tepe by 2043?
Apr 21, 8:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
65.88%chance
221615
OptionVotes
2059
702
Will Quinn Ewers defeat Arch Manning's NFL team in a conference championship or Super Bowl?
Sep 15, 2:34 AMMar 16, 4:59 AM
24.62%chance
41270
OptionVotes
1750
571
OptionVotes
2064
1751
What type of water crossing will replace the FSK Bridge in Baltimore?
Mar 27, 1:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
151119
OptionProbability
85
5
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
Will the transformer architecture be replaced in SOTA LLMs by 2028?
Dec 26, 8:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
54.33%chance
21752
OptionVotes
1155
804
Will an LLM Built on a State Space Model Architecture Have Been SOTA at any Point before EOY 2027? [READ DESCRIPTION]
Dec 25, 1:31 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM
38.74%chance
15602
OptionVotes
1457
709
Mistborn/Stormlight Archive TV show/movie begins filming by EOY 2028?
Jan 28, 10:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
37.13%chance
10435
OptionVotes
1154
651
Will a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office?
Apr 10, 6:42 PMJan 21, 11:59 PM
20.61%chance
8278
OptionVotes
196
51
Memorial Circle Triumphal Arch (Arc de Trump) Inaugurated by Trump?
Jan 6, 1:09 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM
21.16%chance
5135
OptionVotes
193
52