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Top stories

Crunchyroll and Kadokawa Unveil 2026 ‘Sekiro’ Anime Adaptation

Crunchyroll and Kadokawa Unveil 2026 ‘Sekiro’ Anime Adaptation

Authors

10

6 months ago

Prediction markets for ARCH

Will we find something showing equal or greater architectural advancement to Gobekli Tepe, from before 11,000 BC?

Mar 4, 6:42 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

33.07%chance

5810769

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11052

10904

Will anyone find me a decent web archival program? [M$20,000 bounty]

Sep 29, 5:17 PMSep 29, 5:14 PM

35.62%chance

92054

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1344

744

What NFL team will Arch Manning play for?

May 21, 3:03 PMMay 1, 3:59 AM

91927

OptionProbability

Other

New Orleans Saints

New York Jets

Cleveland Browns

Las Vegas Raiders

New York Giants

Indianapolis Colts

Denver Broncos

None

Tennessee Titans

33

21

15

9

6

5

4

3

2

2

Will clued-in people be talking about ASI-Arch as a significant inflection point in July 2026?

Jul 29, 2:56 AMJul 29, 2:53 AM

16.05%chance

141735

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2287

437

Major archaeological discovery rivaling Göbekli Tepe by 2043?

Apr 21, 8:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.88%chance

221615

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2059

702

Will the Internet Archive be available in 2046?

Mar 19, 12:52 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

78.07%chance

381136

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2014

1765

Will Quinn Ewers defeat Arch Manning's NFL team in a conference championship or Super Bowl?

Sep 15, 2:34 AMMar 16, 4:59 AM

24.62%chance

3770

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1750

571

Will the transformer architecture be replaced in SOTA LLMs by 2028?

Dec 26, 8:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

57.29%chance

20702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1105

867

Will an LLM Built on a State Space Model Architecture Have Been SOTA at any Point before EOY 2027? [READ DESCRIPTION]

Dec 25, 1:31 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

38.74%chance

15602

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1457

709

What type of water crossing will replace the FSK Bridge in Baltimore?

Mar 27, 1:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11443

OptionProbability

Cable-stayed bridge

Suspension bridge

No new crossing

Immersed tunnel

Arch bridge

Beam bridge

Truss bridge

Bored tunnel

Other

62

12

8

7

2

2

2

2

2

Mistborn/Stormlight Archive TV show/movie begins filming by EOY 2028?

Jan 28, 10:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.1%chance

8365

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

744

Memorial Circle Triumphal Arch (Arc de Trump) Inaugurated by Trump?

Jan 6, 1:09 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

35.42%chance

477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

135

74

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