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Prediction markets for Arm
US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 1, 2029
Feb 19, 5:59 AMJan 2, 12:00 AM
5.66%chance
3011576
OptionVotes
4082
245
US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029
Jan 4, 7:09 PMJan 21, 12:00 AM
4.89%chance
245559
OptionVotes
4409
227
US and Mexico engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029
Jan 4, 7:50 PMJan 21, 12:00 AM
12.52%chance
134737
OptionVotes
2644
378
OptionVotes
1021
963
Will the US and Russia start a new nuclear arms race before 2028?
Feb 6, 12:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29.97%chance
212082
OptionVotes
1529
654
Will there be an armed conflict between China and the US before the end of 2030?
Sep 14, 12:22 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
23.11%chance
27908
OptionVotes
1005
900
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?
Oct 24, 7:32 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
20%chance
13291
OptionVotes
213
62
Will the majority of Russians cease to support "the actions of the Russian armed forces in Ukraine" in 2026?
Jan 20, 12:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.65%chance
6250
OptionVotes
1081
986
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?
Oct 24, 7:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
78.05%chance
4129
OptionVotes
193
67
Will Devon Larratt EVER defeat Levan Saginashvili in an arm wrestling supermatch?
Oct 2, 11:26 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
46.33%chance
2120
OptionVotes
1076
929
By 2050 will it be clear that any section of the U.S. Armed Forces entered DEFCON 3 between 2020 and 2030?
Mar 14, 8:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
55.23%chance
230
OptionVotes
100
81
If Jose Luis ricon arm wrestled Lada nuzhna, would he win
May 10, 3:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
56.37%chance
227
OptionVotes
114
88