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Top stories

Colombia Confirms 38 Nationals Detained in Venezuela; Five Released Amid 2,800 kg Cocaine Seizure and 816 Political Arrests

Colombia Confirms 38 Nationals Detained in Venezuela; Five Released Amid 2,800 kg Cocaine Seizure and 816 Political Arrests

Authors

4

3 months ago

Prediction markets for ARN

Is Fredi9999 Frédéric Arnault?

Oct 17, 10:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

0.25%chance

143330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1994

5

Will Arne Slot still be Liverpool manager on Christmas Day 2025?

Nov 26, 11:47 PMDec 25, 11:59 PM

80.16%chance

92715

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2010

498

Will any model of the LMSYS chatbot arena top 30 at the end of 2025 use Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN)?

May 6, 10:01 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.41%chance

111879

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2808

844

Who will be the next premier league manager to leave their post? #4

Nov 2, 2:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71297

OptionProbability

Scott Parker (Burnley)

TBC (Wolverhampton Wanderers)

David Moyes (Everton)

Thomas Frank (Tottenham Hotspur)

Marco Silva (Fulham)

Daniel Farke (Leeds United)

Arne Slot (Liverpool)

Eddie Howe (Newcastle United)

Oliver Glasner (Crystal Palace)

Unai Emery (Aston Villa)

Andoni Iraola (Bournemouth)

Keith Andrews (Brentford)

Fabian Hurzeler (Brighton)

Enzo Maresca (Chelsea)

Ruben Amorim (Manchester United)

Nuno Espírito Santo (West Ham United)

Sean Dyche (Nottingham Forest)

Mikel Arteta (Arsenal)

Pep Guardiola (Manchester City)

Regis Le Bris (Sunderland)

14

10

9

9

6

6

6

5

4

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

Arnold Schwarzenegger runs for US president in 2028?

Oct 27, 3:51 AMNov 1, 10:59 PM

2%chance

8643

OptionVotes

YES

NO

700

14

Will a SOTA model be trained with Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks by 2029?

May 3, 2:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.59%chance

15503

OptionVotes

YES

NO

349

29

Will a leading AI company productize Kolmogorov–Arnold Networks (KAN) by 2026?

May 6, 2:26 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12.29%chance

19495

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1369

906

Will Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) be used/studied in at least five orals at NeurIPS 2027?

May 2, 7:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.99%chance

11323

OptionVotes

YES

NO

339

29

Liverpool Premiership Probability above 35% at EOY2025

Jun 30, 5:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.91%chance

6264

OptionVotes

YES

NO

272

37

Will Tyler Arnold (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 20, 1:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18%chance

5191

OptionVotes

YES

NO

239

112

Will Bernard Arnault (CEO of Louis Vuitton) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Mar 21, 2:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.13%chance

4112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

202

55

Will Arnav Shah win EITHER an Emergent Ventures or Thiel Fellowship by 2028?

Apr 21, 10:24 AMApr 29, 6:59 AM

41.35%chance

430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

143

100

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