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3 months ago

Will Artemis II launch before 2026?

Apr 13, 1:55 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

0.94%chance

4020422

OptionVotes

YES

11540

149

Will Starship fly to orbit more times before Artemis II, than SLS ever flies?

Oct 16, 3:48 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

25.43%chance

169995

OptionVotes

YES

1712

584

Will SLS be used for Artemis 3 as planned?

Nov 16, 8:58 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.91%chance

519372

OptionVotes

YES

1036

867

Will Artemis II launch before 2027?

Apr 13, 1:55 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

81.89%chance

387772

OptionVotes

YES

1486

841

Artemis III flown with a crewed landing? x Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?

Oct 31, 6:51 PMNov 11, 10:59 AM

173692

OptionProbability

Artemis III not flown with a crewed landing AND China lands a person on the Moon first

Artemis III flown with a crewed landing AND The US returns to the Moon first

Artemis III flown with a crewed landing AND China lands a person on the Moon first

Artemis III not flown with a crewed landing AND The US returns to the Moon first

In what metropolitan area will Artemis live on January 1st, 2026?

Aug 9, 8:33 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

53373

OptionProbability

San Diego–Chula Vista–Carlsbad, CA MSA

San Francisco–Oakland–Fremont, CA MSA

New York–Newark–Jersey City, NY-NJ MSA

Seattle–Tacoma–Bellevue, WA MSA

Washington–Arlington–Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV MSA

Baltimore–Columbia–Towson, MD MSA

Other

Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD MSA

Los Angeles–Long Beach–Anaheim, CA MSA

Will 15 or more starship and super-heavy launches be required for Artemis 3?

Feb 19, 5:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

74.07%chance

171842

OptionVotes

YES

1703

572

Will Artemis III be flown with a crewed landing?

Oct 28, 6:09 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

57.19%chance

221782

OptionVotes

YES

1149

864

Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon?

Sep 13, 9:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.92%chance

281294

OptionVotes

YES

1765

820

Will more manned Artemis missions land on the moon than during Apollo?

Jan 18, 10:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.91%chance

201175

OptionVotes

YES

1594

530

Will the Artemis 2 crew break Apollo 13's human altitude record?

Oct 10, 3:10 AMApr 30, 10:59 PM

58.55%chance

71027

OptionVotes

YES

1188

841

Will NASA's Artemis 3 mission be successful?

Dec 10, 7:12 AMDec 17, 10:59 AM

80%chance

16929

OptionVotes

YES

1037

537

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Will Artemis II launch before 2026?

Will Starship fly to orbit more times before Artemis II, than SLS ever flies?

Will SLS be used for Artemis 3 as planned?

Will Artemis II launch before 2027?

Artemis III flown with a crewed landing? x Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?

In what metropolitan area will Artemis live on January 1st, 2026?

Will 15 or more starship and super-heavy launches be required for Artemis 3?

Will Artemis III be flown with a crewed landing?

Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon?

Will more manned Artemis missions land on the moon than during Apollo?

Will the Artemis 2 crew break Apollo 13's human altitude record?

Will NASA's Artemis 3 mission be successful?

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