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Prediction markets for AS
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Feb 20, 10:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
69.8%chance
24021729741
OptionVotes
9021
2682
Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
42.09%chance
555181377
OptionVotes
2731
1983
If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?
Mar 11, 11:22 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM
48.71%chance
19782934
OptionVotes
8638
4393
By EOY 2026, will it seem as if deep learning hit a wall by EOY 2025?
Nov 17, 12:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
13.08%chance
20751265
OptionVotes
3275
1301
Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?
Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
50.67%chance
9243679
OptionVotes
1050
916
Will the 2028 US presidential election occur "as normal"?
Feb 19, 1:33 AMJan 28, 3:59 PM
84.04%chance
12427775
OptionVotes
11914
9314
Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?
Jan 22, 5:29 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
20.33%chance
3421610
OptionVotes
16274
7680
Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10.23%chance
9821603
OptionVotes
4277
1477
On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?
Jan 22, 3:28 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
27.27%chance
4211019
OptionVotes
12653
8803
Will Princeton international students lose legal status before 2027 (as is seemingly happening at Harvard)?
May 23, 12:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25.51%chance
189152
OptionVotes
17089
5852
Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?
Sep 8, 6:55 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM
7%chance
314343
OptionVotes
3127
650
This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030
Aug 10, 1:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
49%chance
11380
OptionVotes
51
49