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Top stories

NYPD Investigates Car Bomb and Death Threats, Anti-Muslim Voicemails Against Democratic Mayoral Candidate Zohran Mamdani

NYPD Investigates Car Bomb and Death Threats, Anti-Muslim Voicemails Against Democratic Mayoral Candidate Zohran Mamdani

Authors

14

1 month ago

Speaker Didiza Directs Ad Hoc Committee to Probe KZN Police Commissioner Mkhwanazi’s Corruption Allegations; DA Charges Police Minister Mchunu

Speaker Didiza Directs Ad Hoc Committee to Probe KZN Police Commissioner Mkhwanazi’s Corruption Allegations; DA Charges Police Minister Mchunu

Authors

8

13 days ago

Prediction markets for Assembly

Will the French President of the Republic dissolve the National Assembly again before the end of 2025 ?

Jul 18, 8:41 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

60.19%chance

152832

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1230

813

Will Optimus be used on the Optimus assembly line before the end of 2025?

Nov 23, 6:53 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

23.16%chance

192186

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1822

549

Will a complex nanoscale self-replicating assembler be developed before 2040?

Mar 16, 11:26 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

52.64%chance

361361

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1132

819

Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?

Jun 13, 7:28 PMJun 3, 4:41 PM

46.74%chance

14929

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1068

937

Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?

Nov 2, 4:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32.46%chance

14587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

442

Will all extant mammal species have their genome sequenced and assembled by 2035?

Aug 29, 11:05 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13.7%chance

12569

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1132

955

UK recognizes Palestine as a state at the UN General Assembly in September 2025

Jul 29, 8:41 PMSep 25, 11:59 PM

57.8%chance

10510

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1170

854

Will the nutritional mix for baby formula turn out to be relatively harmful compared to foods that could have have been assembled at home with ingredients that can be commonly found in an American ?

May 20, 1:20 PMMay 28, 3:59 AM

15.37%chance

14317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1181

868

What percentage of the vote will UPRONA party win in 2025 Burundian National Assembly election?

Jun 3, 6:58 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM

1245

OptionProbability

[0-1]

[2-3]

[4-5]

[6-7]

[8-10]

[11-20]

[21-100]

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

Will it be possible to acquire or assemble a Framework laptop with a trackpoint?

Jul 31, 2:54 PMAug 31, 9:59 PM

12.38%chance

5205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

185

24

Will Nanotechnology Enable the Creation of Self-Assembling or Morphing Consumer Products Commonplace by 2050?

Nov 19, 1:28 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.11%chance

441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

73

67

California Assembly Dist. 63 election winner 2025-08-26

Aug 2, 9:43 PMAug 29, 11:59 PM

15

OptionProbability

Chris Shoults

Natasha Johnson

52

48

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