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Top stories

Seventy Nairobi MCAs Launch Impeachment Drive Against Governor Sakaja

Seventy Nairobi MCAs Launch Impeachment Drive Against Governor Sakaja

Authors

5

1 year ago

Ex-Kogi Governor Bello Presses Lawmakers to Pass All Ododo Bills

Ex-Kogi Governor Bello Presses Lawmakers to Pass All Ododo Bills

Authors

3

1 year ago

California GOP Sues Over Maps, Floats Two-State Split Amid Redistricting Fight

California GOP Sues Over Maps, Floats Two-State Split Amid Redistricting Fight

Authors

34

1 year ago

California Lawmakers Begin Hearings on Governor’s Redistricting Plan

Authors

3

1 year ago

New York Lawmaker Seeks 0.2% Tax on Crypto Trades to Fund Addiction Programs

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Assembly

Robot assembles IKEA furniture using printed instructions, before 2030?

Aug 12, 7:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.05%chance

6026992

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1002

1000

Assembly of Experts hit by US or Israeli attack in 2026 and at least one cleric dies

Mar 2, 4:43 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.72%chance

2710998

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3725

268

Will a complex nanoscale self-replicating assembler be developed before 2040?

Mar 16, 11:26 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

52.64%chance

361361

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1132

819

Will all extant mammal species have their genome sequenced and assembled by 2035?

Aug 29, 11:05 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.57%chance

13769

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1332

926

Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?

Nov 2, 4:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

34.7%chance

14622

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1157

406

Will the nutritional mix for baby formula turn out to be relatively harmful compared to foods that could have have been assembled at home with ingredients that can be commonly found in an American ?

May 20, 1:20 PMMay 28, 3:59 AM

12.4%chance

15578

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1442

826

Will Ohio House Bill 249 be signed into law in the 136th General Assembly?

Apr 2, 3:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.81%chance

7457

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1357

737

Will it be possible to acquire or assemble a Framework laptop with a trackpoint?

Jul 31, 2:54 PMSep 15, 9:59 PM

14%chance

11328

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

25

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 51st State Assembly district

Aug 25, 3:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1295

OptionProbability

Rick Zbur (Incumbent)

Colin Hernandez

Other

Dick Lucas

67

25

5

3

Russia assembles a domestic tribunal by EOY2050?

Aug 30, 6:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.64%chance

474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

954

How many seats will AAP win in the 2027 Punjab Assembly election?

Sep 6, 10:08 AMMar 10, 6:29 PM

224

OptionProbability

0 - 39

40 - 49

50 - 58

59 - 67

68 - 117

20

20

20

20

20

Special ecclesial assembly approved by Francis held in October 2028?

Nov 16, 7:44 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

340

340

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