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Top stories

Seventy Nairobi MCAs Launch Impeachment Drive Against Governor Sakaja

Seventy Nairobi MCAs Launch Impeachment Drive Against Governor Sakaja

Authors

5

5 months ago

Ex-Kogi Governor Bello Presses Lawmakers to Pass All Ododo Bills

Ex-Kogi Governor Bello Presses Lawmakers to Pass All Ododo Bills

Authors

3

6 months ago

California GOP Sues Over Maps, Floats Two-State Split Amid Redistricting Fight

California GOP Sues Over Maps, Floats Two-State Split Amid Redistricting Fight

Authors

34

5 months ago

California Lawmakers Begin Hearings on Governor’s Redistricting Plan

Authors

3

6 months ago

New York Lawmaker Seeks 0.2% Tax on Crypto Trades to Fund Addiction Programs

Authors

5

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Assembly

Robot assembles IKEA furniture using printed instructions, before 2030?

Aug 12, 7:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.85%chance

5623393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

781

Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?

Jun 13, 7:28 PMJun 3, 4:41 PM

27.72%chance

151611

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1615

619

Will a complex nanoscale self-replicating assembler be developed before 2040?

Mar 16, 11:26 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

52.64%chance

361361

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1132

819

Will all extant mammal species have their genome sequenced and assembled by 2035?

Aug 29, 11:05 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.57%chance

13769

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1332

926

Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?

Nov 2, 4:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32.46%chance

14587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

442

Will the nutritional mix for baby formula turn out to be relatively harmful compared to foods that could have have been assembled at home with ingredients that can be commonly found in an American ?

May 20, 1:20 PMMay 28, 3:59 AM

12.51%chance

15567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1431

828

Will a robot be able to assemble LEGOs from a LEGO instruction set by EOY2026?

Sep 26, 6:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.21%chance

11439

OptionVotes

YES

NO

268

37

Will the SC General Assembly pass a bill eliminating non-medical vaccine exemptions before March 1st?

Dec 14, 7:16 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

58.46%chance

8141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

85

Russia assembles a domestic tribunal by EOY2050?

Aug 30, 6:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.64%chance

474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

954

Will Nanotechnology Enable the Creation of Self-Assembling or Morphing Consumer Products Commonplace by 2050?

Nov 19, 1:28 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.11%chance

441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

73

67

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 51st State Assembly district

Aug 25, 3:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

Rick Zbur (Incumbent)

Other

Dick Lucas

45

34

22

Special ecclesial assembly approved by Francis held in October 2028?

Nov 16, 7:44 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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