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Top stories

FEMA Suspends Dozens of Staff After Letter Warns of Katrina-Scale Disaster

US Domestic Policy

Natural Disasters

FEMA Suspends Dozens of Staff After Letter Warns of Katrina-Scale Disaster

Authors

76

7 months ago

Scientists Rebuke Trump Climate Reports as EPA Targets Key Regulations

US Domestic Policy

Scientists Rebuke Trump Climate Reports as EPA Targets Key Regulations

Authors

6

7 months ago

Colorado’s Sanders Picks Salter as Starter, Presses for Playoff Pay for Players

Colorado’s Sanders Picks Salter as Starter, Presses for Playoff Pay for Players

Authors

10

7 months ago

Judge Orders Shutdown of Florida’s $218 Million ‘Alligator Alcatraz’

Authors

13

7 months ago

Ukraine Rebukes Woody Allen Over Appearance at Moscow Film Week

Authors

13

7 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Zelensky Says Ukraine Using Indigenous Arms as Trump Pauses US Shipments

Authors

11

7 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Oklahoma Imposes PragerU Ideology Test on Teachers From California, New York

Authors

22

7 months ago

Monica Seles, Nine-Time Grand Slam Champion, Reveals Myasthenia Gravis Diagnosis Impacting Vision Ahead of 2025 US Open

Authors

10

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Associated Press

Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

75.68%chance

30575155

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8484

6150

Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?

Jul 21, 11:47 PMNov 4, 7:59 AM

7745507

OptionProbability

Democrats Sweep

R Senate, D House

Republicans Sweep

D Senate, R House

Other

48

40

11

0

0

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10%chance

8141187

OptionVotes

YES

NO

29364

2889

Will a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?

Oct 21, 9:08 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

8%chance

5415928

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3437

299

(M1000 Subsidy) UK builds 300,000 housing units in any year before 2030

Oct 10, 10:53 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

23.11%chance

7011137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2487

801

Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.58%chance

156839

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8427

3028

Will Lauren Boebert be re-elected to the House in 2026?

Feb 27, 11:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.58%chance

61426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1244

519

Will Alcoa announce Final Investment Decision for Wagerup gallium by June 30, 2026?

Jan 12, 5:35 PMJun 29, 11:59 PM

66.48%chance

7808

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1409

710

Which of the following media outlets will close or undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028?

Mar 2, 3:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

15766

OptionProbability

Epoch Times

NPR

Wired

Time

TMZ

Los Angeles Times

New York Post

USA Today

The Onion

Times of India

Gateway Pundit

Babylon Bee

Daily Wire

Newsmax

Breitbart

Al Jazeera

Associated Press (AP)

The Information

The Base Rate Times

Fox News

Wall Street Journal

CNN

BBC

NPR

New York Times

92

79

72

72

72

69

66

66

56

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

46

45

41

34

34

34

20

18

9

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM

53.61%chance

7311

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1075

930

Straw Hat protests continue in 2026

Jan 6, 4:44 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

59.02%chance

2200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1200

833

Rippling wins its lawsuit against Deel by 2028?

May 12, 5:33 PMJan 1, 6:33 PM

52.98%chance

5183

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1061

942

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