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Prediction markets for Association of School
OptionProbability
46
19
12
7
5
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will it be revealed that at least 3 people with Wikipedia articles have done IQ selection on their children before 2028?
Jun 27, 4:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
73.16%chance
544092
OptionVotes
1398
710
Who will win a seat on the Mountain View City Council in November 2026?
May 17, 12:03 AMNov 11, 11:59 PM
132207
OptionProbability
95
74
68
50
8
6
5
5
OptionProbability
28
26
15
13
4
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the MCAT without cheating before 2035?
Jun 1, 6:37 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
86.64%chance
16674
OptionVotes
1123
959
Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the MCAT without cheating before 2030?
Jun 1, 6:37 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
69.86%chance
499
OptionVotes
145
88
US-China Track 1 AI dialogue commits to shared AI safety benchmark by '27?
Apr 14, 6:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100