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Top stories

Australia’s Bob Katter Threatens Reporter Questioning His Lebanese Heritage

Australia’s Bob Katter Threatens Reporter Questioning His Lebanese Heritage

Authors

23

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Australian Party

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM

51.45%chance

122561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

973

Australian Liberal Party Leader On January 1st 2027

Feb 9, 11:48 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

71053

OptionProbability

Angus Taylor

Andrew Hastie

Susan Ley

Other

Ted O’Brien

Michaelia Cash

83

5

5

5

1

1

What combination of parties will form executive government after the next Australian federal election?

May 23, 2:19 AMMay 23, 2:13 AM

171019

OptionProbability

Labor

Liberal + National

Labor + Greens

Liberal + National + One Nation

Other

One Nation

Labor + Liberal

One Nation + National

Labor + Liberal + National

Labor + One Nation

54

18

10

6

5

2

2

1

1

1

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?

May 21, 6:31 AMJun 30, 6:29 AM

51.41%chance

6833

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1028

969

How many seats will PHON win in the next federal election?

May 13, 10:41 AMJun 13, 10:41 AM

2456

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 2

Above 4

Above 6

Above 8

Above 10

Above 20

95

94

69

64

62

59

39

Who will be the next leader of the Australian Labour Party?

Nov 3, 8:50 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

7396

OptionProbability

Jim Chalmers

Tony Burke

Other

Tanya Plibersek

Bill Shorten

Richard Marles

Penny Wong

Jason Clare

Chris Bowen

Linda Burney

Mark Butler

Katy Gallagher

Pat Conroy

Mark Dreyfus

Catherine King

Ed Husic

43

11

9

8

6

4

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

Who will be the next leader of the Australian Labor Party?

Nov 1, 8:23 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

13350

OptionProbability

Jim Chalmers

Other

Tanya Plibersek

Bill Shorten

Penny Wong

Chris Bowen

Richard Marles

44

28

11

6

5

3

3

Will Labor and the Greens hold a majority of seats in the Australian Senate after the next election?

May 25, 2:30 PMJun 30, 1:49 PM

50.86%chance

8250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1133

836

Will One Nation win more seats than the Liberals+Nationals+QLNP+CLP combined at the next Australian federal election?

Feb 2, 12:06 PMMay 19, 1:59 PM

50.03%chance

12249

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will the Coalition next split before the next election?

Feb 8, 4:59 AMDec 30, 10:59 PM

43.52%chance

6225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

56

When will the first One Nation defection or departure in South Australian parliament occur?

Mar 25, 3:17 AMDec 31, 3:15 AM

3175

OptionProbability

No members leave or defect before parliament dissolves

Before 1 July 2026

July to December 2026

During 2027

2028 or later

27

18

18

18

18

Will a Liberal MP or Senator join Community Strong Australia by the next Australian federal election?

Jun 25, 1:37 AMMay 19, 1:59 PM

25.71%chance

270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Australia
Politics
World
Australia’s Bob Katter Threatens Reporter Questioning His Lebanese Heritage
Authors
23
1 year ago

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