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Prediction markets for Australian Party
OptionProbability
71
19
6
1
1
1
Will Alcoa announce Final Investment Decision for Wagerup gallium by March 31, 2026?
Jan 12, 4:34 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM
30.09%chance
131147
OptionVotes
1525
656
Which party will form Opposition following the 2026 South Australian state election?
Mar 17, 6:26 AMMar 27, 11:59 PM
7920
OptionProbability
98
2
0
OptionProbability
90
5
2
1
1
1
Will Alcoa announce Final Investment Decision for Wagerup gallium by June 30, 2026?
Jan 12, 5:35 PMJun 29, 11:59 PM
66.48%chance
7808
OptionVotes
1409
710
Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?
Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM
68.46%chance
7760
OptionVotes
1475
680
OptionProbability
40
25
9
9
7
4
3
2
OptionProbability
43
11
9
8
6
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
OptionProbability
42
27
12
7
5
4
3
Will the Coalition next split before the next election?
Feb 8, 4:59 AMDec 30, 10:59 PM
48.94%chance
6215
OptionVotes
126
65
Will One Nation win more seats than the Liberals+Nationals+QLNP+CLP combined at the next Australian federal election?
Feb 2, 12:06 PMMay 19, 1:59 PM
25%chance
7124
OptionVotes
173
58
Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?
May 21, 6:31 AMJun 30, 6:29 AM
67.01%chance
5105
OptionVotes
143
70