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Prediction markets for AVAIL
Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?
Jun 27, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
60%chance
17445547
OptionVotes
1585
1297
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?
Apr 4, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
78.88%chance
12723740
OptionVotes
3769
1429
In twenty years, will the best evidence available suggest that sperm counts have been substantially declining across most of the world?
Feb 17, 4:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
35%chance
18914872
OptionVotes
3617
1599
Will a nontoxic MDMA-like drug be legally available in the US by 2030?
May 8, 8:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.51%chance
5014608
OptionVotes
2801
671
Will we have flying cars commercially available by the year 2035?
Aug 25, 12:35 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
33.18%chance
6512468
OptionVotes
977
933
In which year will Artificial General Rationalussy become available?
Oct 14, 9:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
163915
OptionProbability
35
24
16
13
13
Will Neuralink be available for people without a disability in the US by 2035?
Mar 21, 4:28 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
62.94%chance
652900
OptionVotes
1491
500
Will anti-aging treatments developed, approved and available for public usage by 2040?
Jan 17, 9:32 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
38.16%chance
432108
OptionVotes
1479
346
Will level 4 self-driving cars be generally available in the US before 2030?
Jan 4, 7:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
51%chance
181206
OptionVotes
1021
981
OptionVotes
2064
1751
Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be available by the end of 2032?
Sep 26, 4:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
79%chance
191018
OptionVotes
2724
1746
Will medically safe ribcage depth reduction of 3+ inches be commercially available by 2100?
Aug 18, 11:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
56.04%chance
7257
OptionVotes
1149
906
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