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Top stories

NYSE Launches ‘Taking Stock’ Social-First Market Show

NYSE Launches ‘Taking Stock’ Social-First Market Show

Authors

12

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Axiom Space

Private space agency buys ISS before being decommissioned

Dec 30, 3:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.81%chance

11838

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1103

387

Will an Axiom built module be attached to the ISS before 2027?

Oct 4, 12:15 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1.05%chance

6804

OptionVotes

YES

NO

764

5

When will the first real data center (≥1 MW) be operating in space?

Jun 18, 2:13 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

12724

OptionProbability

2031–2032

2030

2029

2033–2035

2028

By end of 2027

2036 or later / Never

26

20

19

16

13

4

2

Axiom Station launches before January 1, 2027 (AI)

Dec 2, 6:23 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

31.22%chance

782

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

67

Will Tim Peake go to space on a UK-Axiom mission before 2030?

Oct 27, 8:14 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

48.52%chance

680

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

108

Which free-flying commercial space station will host a crewed mission first?

Jul 7, 1:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

213

OptionProbability

Haven 1/Haven 2 (Vast)

Axiom Station (Axiom Space)

Starlab (Starlab Space)

Orbital Reef (Blue Origin & Sierra Space)

Other / None by 2036

34

20

15

15

15

Sid Meier's Alpha Centauri ON MANIFOLDS by EOy2029?

Jul 11, 8:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

When will the Kakeya conjecture be proved or disproved?

Apr 7, 2:36 PMDec 31, 2:33 PM

00

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

Other

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

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