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Prediction markets for Azure
By when will OpenAI broadly release the model expected to be called GPT-5?
May 14, 3:52 PMSep 1, 6:59 AM
628300840
OptionProbability
97
97
96
95
90
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will either Gartner or IDC claim that by 2032, cloud spending quadrupled from 2022? (1,000 subsidy)
Jan 4, 6:31 PMMar 31, 2:59 AM
73.39%chance
81268
OptionVotes
1740
865
At end of 2025, one of the top five software engineering AIs will be exclusively used by 100 or fewer tech companies
Feb 6, 3:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
26.4%chance
71077
OptionVotes
1670
599
OptionVotes
148
67
Will the wild population of the Azure-thighed Tree Frog (Litoria azuroscelis) become extinct by 2100?
Apr 5, 10:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50.98%chance
342
OptionVotes
530
469
Will the Azure-thighed Tree Frog (Litoria azuroscelis) become extinct by 2100?
Apr 5, 10:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
39.38%chance
440
OptionVotes
540
469
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