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Prediction markets for Backed
OptionVotes
2800
86
Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?
Nov 14, 3:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
52.54%chance
15987897
OptionVotes
4274
2558
Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?
Mar 26, 4:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
71.05%chance
17725328
OptionVotes
12006
9046
Will there be a government-backed manned mission to Mars that returns to Earth before the end of 2040?
Apr 20, 12:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
32%chance
8721359
OptionVotes
1417
1073
OptionVotes
24224
4128
OptionVotes
1484
367
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2050?
Oct 30, 12:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
14.67%chance
1066584
OptionVotes
2853
1798
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2100?
Oct 30, 12:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
48.76%chance
836178
OptionVotes
1331
1135
Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?
Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63.61%chance
745724
OptionVotes
2141
900
Will Nicola Willis get back to Parliament after the 2026 NZ election?
Sep 28, 7:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6%chance
143182
OptionVotes
2618
56
OptionVotes
1294
1116
Will the developers of the game Farlight 84 adding back jetpacks in next update?
Mar 29, 9:08 PMDec 30, 10:04 PM
00
OptionProbability
33
33
33
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