OptionProbability
European Central Bank
Bank of Japan
Bank of Korea
Reserve Bank of New Zealand
US Federal Reserve
Bank of England
Reserve Bank of India
Bank of Canada
People’s Bank of China
Swiss National Bank
100
69
49
41
37
31
30
3.75%
4.00%
3.50%
4.25%
3.00%
3.25%
4.50%
4.75% or more
2.50% or less
2.75%
36
9
8
2
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
104
97
154
83
2.00% to 2.75%
3.00% to 3.75%
4.00% to 4.75%
5.00% to 5.75%
below 1%
1.00% to 1.75%
6% or higher
22
16
13
10
7
4.75%
5.00% or more
6
4
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