Bank of Russia News

4 months ago

If Russia does NOT annex Ukraine before 2024, will Ukraine's 2030 real GDP be over 180bn USD (in 2020 US dollars)?

Feb 23, 8:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.16%chance

231866

OptionVotes

YES

1129

920

Which Chinese tech companies announce a formal AI partnership with a Russian entity before 2027?

Oct 29, 2:22 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

41525

OptionProbability

Huawei

Alibaba

ByteDance

Xiaomi

Lenovo

Cambricon

Tencent

Baidu

SenseTime

Zhipu AI

Moonshot AI

iFlyTek

Deepseek

MiniMax

Russian Ruble worth more than one US cent at year's end?

Jun 4, 11:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.36%chance

111027

OptionVotes

YES

306

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.06%chance

8279

OptionVotes

YES

105

103

Will Russia have gone through an economic depression by EOY 2045?

Feb 25, 6:09 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

87.03%chance

6268

OptionVotes

YES

366

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Oct 30, 12:17 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

49.1%chance

3120

OptionVotes

YES

1066

1035

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If Russia does NOT annex Ukraine before 2024, will Ukraine's 2030 real GDP be over 180bn USD (in 2020 US dollars)?

Which Chinese tech companies announce a formal AI partnership with a Russian entity before 2027?

Russian Ruble worth more than one US cent at year's end?

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Will Russia have gone through an economic depression by EOY 2045?

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

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