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Prediction markets for Bank of Russia
If Russia does NOT annex Ukraine before 2024, will Ukraine's 2030 real GDP be over 180bn USD (in 2020 US dollars)?
Feb 23, 8:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
29.16%chance
231866
OptionVotes
1129
920
Which Chinese tech companies announce a formal AI partnership with a Russian entity before 2027?
Oct 29, 2:22 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
41525
OptionProbability
41
41
26
19
19
19
18
18
18
18
18
18
17
17
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
63.06%chance
8279
OptionVotes
105
103
Will Russia have gone through an economic depression by EOY 2045?
Feb 25, 6:09 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
87.03%chance
6268
OptionVotes
366
75
OptionVotes
1095
1027
Will the BRICS nations officially launch a common digital settlement currency for international trade by the end of 2026
Feb 2, 11:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19%chance
7141
OptionVotes
206
48
What share of Russia’s frozen central bank reserves will have been used to support Ukraine?
Dec 10, 12:19 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
3118
OptionProbability
12
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10