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Prediction markets for BART
Will BART achieve avg weekday ridership >500,000 in any month before 2026
Nov 9, 5:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5.2%chance
123648
OptionVotes
4339
478
Bart Ehrman Will Convert to Esoteric/Gnostic Christianity before 2030?
Sep 30, 6:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
13.79%chance
11500
OptionVotes
2500
400
How old will Cimorene be when she's able to travel to a BART station unsupervised?
Feb 11, 7:56 AMNov 10, 12:59 AM
34.29%chance
14248
OptionProbability
1036
921
Will Bart Kay be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Jan 2, 7:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
16.48%chance
7202
OptionVotes
320
114
Will a wild duck make a mating attempt on Barton Rhodes (@bmorphism) by 2050?
Aug 22, 6:03 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
24.82%chance
3160
OptionVotes
174
57
OptionVotes
230
97
Will the BART station at San Jose Diridon be in service on December 1, 2030?
Jan 9, 8:54 PMDec 2, 7:59 AM
20.82%chance
395
OptionVotes
195
51
Will BART trains (all lines) have no staff onboard by 2035?
May 20, 12:41 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
33.12%chance
580
OptionVotes
142
70
Will Barton Rhodes and Kliment Serafimov hang out by EOY2028?
Mar 16, 3:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
54.75%chance
254
OptionVotes
110
91
Will MBTA trains on the Boston red line finally have PM2.5 levels lower than 10 ug/m^3 (like BART trains) by EOY 2027?
Jan 22, 11:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
55.27%chance
118
OptionVotes
56
45
Will Barton Rhodes (@bmorphism) end up having babby (#BartonBabby) by 2035?
Aug 25, 11:51 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
Will the 19th Oakland Bart station inside reduce its avg pm2.5 levels to below 13 by eoy2028
Nov 16, 9:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100