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Prediction markets for Berkeley
Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth?
Jan 13, 5:42 PMJan 13, 7:59 AM
11.22%chance
263936
OptionVotes
1923
768
Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
Jan 13, 4:00 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM
73.56%chance
161744
OptionVotes
1022
890
Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?
Feb 21, 4:21 PMJan 15, 7:59 AM
1.2%chance
91568
OptionVotes
912
11
Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2028, according to Berkeley Earth?
Jan 13, 4:01 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM
75.3%chance
221554
OptionVotes
1022
975
When will I be able to call a Waymo to get from San Francisco to Lighthaven in Berkeley?
Feb 22, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
141438
OptionProbability
49
13
11
7
5
4
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
Feb 21, 4:23 PMJan 15, 7:59 AM
4.27%chance
121349
OptionVotes
473
21
Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth?
Jan 13, 4:02 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM
76.85%chance
211202
OptionVotes
1047
711
Will I be able to book an Autonomous Ride from Berkeley to SFO for less than $30, in 2027?
Aug 23, 12:51 AMJan 31, 7:59 AM
29.96%chance
14705
OptionVotes
1046
854
OptionVotes
266
111
Will at least 1/5 of UC Berkeley students be wearing AR/VR goggles/glasses (to study) at the campus library by eoy 2028
Feb 19, 6:26 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
25%chance
7126
OptionVotes
193
152
Will BASIS (the Berkeley ai safety club) still exist in 2030?
Feb 17, 7:25 AMAug 24, 6:59 AM
64.11%chance
472
OptionVotes
134
75
Will Chez Panisse in Berkeley get a Michelin star before 2030?
Jul 6, 1:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
36.12%chance
570
OptionVotes
133
75
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