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Prediction markets for Best Buy
Will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
Jul 28, 5:46 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
12.89%chance
314853485
OptionVotes
6670
3655
Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
Jul 28, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
47.9%chance
33599775
OptionVotes
4861
3188
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
91
91
85
84
83
81
78
76
71
70
67
60
56
55
55
50
48
47
46
45
44
41
40
40
40
38
36
34
31
31
29
28
26
26
25
25
23
21
20
20
17
15
13
13
12
11
8
8
7
7
7
6
6
5
4
4
4
3
3
3
2
In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)
Dec 10, 1:17 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM
63.63%chance
7921645
OptionVotes
2729
2049
Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035
Jan 5, 5:22 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
30.11%chance
197235
OptionVotes
15224
6573
Will I complete my economics Bachelor's degree at the University of Bonn in 3 years. [Ṁ1337 liquidity subsidy]
Nov 19, 1:57 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM
90.2%chance
185249
OptionVotes
4897
736
Will at least half of Americans (aged 30-40) possess crypto currency by 2060?
Nov 7, 4:30 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
64.03%chance
214270
OptionVotes
1135
765
OptionProbability
99
51
17
7
2
2
1
OptionProbability
73
9
8
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will computer use APIs beat fight amazon + ebay Captchas to enable price comparisons? at mid 2027
May 31, 1:02 AMJul 1, 12:59 AM
59.5%chance
2232
OptionVotes
1212
825
OptionVotes
1194
838
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