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Prediction markets for Big 12
Which of these NCAA Conferences will have the most football teams on Jan. 1st 2027?
Oct 19, 1:45 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
427601
OptionProbability
92
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
Which team will win the 2026/27 NCAA College Football Playoff National Championship?
Jan 20, 3:34 PMJan 25, 11:59 PM
296113
OptionProbability
22
12
11
7
7
7
6
5
4
4
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will any major conference issue a ban on scheduling games with Texas Tech as a result of the Sorsby situation in 2026?
Jun 9, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.54%chance
61911
OptionVotes
2578
71
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM
28.12%chance
251306
OptionVotes
1669
510
OptionProbability
28
19
18
18
9
8
🏈 2026 NCAAF: Which team will win the Big 12 Conference Championship?
Dec 15, 3:12 PMDec 5, 7:00 PM
15448
OptionProbability
34
20
15
10
5
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will at least 2 Big 12 teams make the 2026-2027 College Football Playoff
Sep 20, 3:44 PMDec 6, 11:59 PM
55%chance
8142
OptionVotes
111
90
Will I consider the "Big 3" AI companies to be different on 12/31?
Jan 27, 11:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.79%chance
4140
OptionVotes
240
42
Which conference will win the 2027 College Football Championship Game?
Nov 1, 12:25 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM
3109
OptionProbability
45
16
15
9
5
2
2
2
2
2
2
Will "How big is the Sun? How could you figure it out?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Jul 21, 11:38 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
12.8%chance
2101
OptionVotes
1093
986
Will "Model access for third-parties — it's a big deal!" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Jul 1, 9:31 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000
OptionProbability
50
50
50
50
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