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Prediction markets for Bill Gates
OptionProbability
17
15
9
8
8
7
5
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
36
29
14
9
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
37
37
14
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Bill Gates (68) have another pie thrown in his face before he turns 70?
Dec 16, 6:52 PMOct 28, 10:59 PM
3.45%chance
193279
OptionVotes
3184
815
OptionVotes
1578
904
OptionVotes
1851
29
OptionVotes
1496
933
OptionVotes
1130
635
OptionVotes
479
85
Will Bill Gates (Microsoft, philanthropy) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
May 11, 2:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4.54%chance
8324
OptionVotes
494
120
OptionVotes
137
116
OptionVotes
1078
963