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Billboard 200 News

    Prediction markets for Billboard 200

    OptionProbability

    Taylor Swift married

    Sweden joins NATO

    Death Stranding 2 out

    Sailing skill releases for Runescape (Old School)

    chat gpt 5 releases

    Donald Trump OR Vince McMahon OR Hunter Biden OR Alec Baldwin OR Andrew Tate found guilty of a crime

    ChatGPT 6 released

    Imu Face Reveal

    bitcoin reaches $80k usd on google

    Bitcoin reaches $70k USD on google

    the end of 2024

    the end of 2025

    Ides of March 2025

    Jimmy Carter passes away or is murdered

    Bitcoin reaches 100k usd

    UFC 350 takes place

    Chapter 1200 comes out and he still has not found the one piece

    Gta 6 comes out

    Pluton revealed or used or production started

    Juice wrld's the party never ends will drop

    manifold reaches 2000 engaged users

    reddit r/Worldnews unpins the Russia/Ukraine thread

    kaidou is seen again in the manga

    King Charles no longer king of UK

    arlong is seen again in the manga

    Sanji finds all blue

    Officially supported Netflix app for Apple vision pro

    OnePieceExplained reaches 50k subscribers https://www.youtube.com/@onepieceexplained

    Noam chomsky passes away

    Kingdom Hearts 4 out

    one of the straw hats dies

    Datura Lacroye releases 3 original albums and 3 cover albums

    nuclear detonation or test happens (jan 2024 onward)

    dragon ball super manga ends

    Manifold user charts on the Billboard 200

    manifold reaches 3000 engaged users

    human sets foot on moon again

    ukraine joins EU

    Pigs Fly

    ukraine joins NATO

    hunter biden serves a day in jail

    Destiny retires from streaming

    6th bitcoin halving

    donald trump spends a day in prison

    Windows 12 end of life date

    China invades Taiwan or resolves conflict

    someone reaches 1B in mana profit on Manifold

    Singularity happens

    Buggy the clown dies

    Assange extradited to the USA

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    99

    98

    98

    97

    95

    84

    81

    79

    73

    73

    68

    67

    66

    66

    60

    58

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    41

    33

    32

    28

    28

    24

    22

    22

    15

    12

    10

    4

    3

    0

    Will any AI-created song make the Billboard Global 200 before 2029?

    Jan 12, 4:35 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    71.16%chance
    221420

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1484

    716

    Debut (Taylor's Version) prop bets

    Jul 23, 4:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    2818

    OptionProbability

    It debuts at #1 on the Billboard 200

    Pitchfork rates it 5.0 or higher

    Metacritic rating is 60 or higher after a week

    Metacritic rating is 70 or higher after a week

    Jack Antonoff has at least one production credit

    Aaron Dessner has at least one production credit

    Pitchfork rates it higher than the original (>6.7)

    More than six vault tracks are included

    Pitchfork rates it 7.5 or higher

    A piano version of the album is also released

    It sweeps the top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100

    A pop version of the album is also released

    The album is announced on 7 August 2026

    The album is released on 23 October 2026

    80

    80

    80

    80

    80

    80

    69

    63

    60

    39

    37

    31

    0

    0

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    858

    58

    Billie Eilish releases a #1 Billboard album in 2026?

    Oct 27, 10:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    20.21%chance
    9285

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    366

    126

    AI-generated album enters the Billboard 200 before 2030?

    Aug 11, 2:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    46.21%chance
    9208

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    108

    93

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