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Billboard 200 News

    Prediction markets for Billboard 200

    OptionProbability

    Sweden joins NATO

    Death Stranding 2 out

    Sailing skill releases for Runescape (Old School)

    chat gpt 5 releases

    Donald Trump OR Vince McMahon OR Hunter Biden OR Alec Baldwin OR Andrew Tate found guilty of a crime

    bitcoin reaches $80k usd on google

    Bitcoin reaches $70k USD on google

    the end of 2024

    the end of 2025

    Ides of March 2025

    Jimmy Carter passes away or is murdered

    Bitcoin reaches 100k usd

    Chapter 1200 comes out and he still has not found the one piece

    Pluton revealed or used or production started

    Imu Face Reveal

    Gta 6 comes out

    manifold reaches 2000 engaged users

    Taylor Swift married

    reddit r/Worldnews unpins the Russia/Ukraine thread

    King Charles no longer king of UK

    ChatGPT 6 released

    Officially supported Netflix app for Apple vision pro

    OnePieceExplained reaches 50k subscribers https://www.youtube.com/@onepieceexplained

    Noam chomsky passes away

    kaidou is seen again in the manga

    Kingdom Hearts 4 out

    arlong is seen again in the manga

    UFC 350 takes place

    Datura Lacroye releases 3 original albums and 3 cover albums

    Juice wrld's the party never ends will drop

    ukraine joins NATO

    nuclear detonation or test happens (jan 2024 onward)

    dragon ball super manga ends

    Manifold user charts on the Billboard 200

    Sanji finds all blue

    ukraine joins EU

    donald trump spends a day in prison

    manifold reaches 3000 engaged users

    Pigs Fly

    one of the straw hats dies

    human sets foot on moon again

    China invades Taiwan or resolves conflict

    hunter biden serves a day in jail

    Destiny retires from streaming

    6th bitcoin halving

    Windows 12 end of life date

    someone reaches 1B in mana profit on Manifold

    Buggy the clown dies

    Singularity happens

    Assange extradited to the USA

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    98

    97

    96

    93

    84

    83

    81

    73

    73

    67

    66

    66

    65

    60

    57

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    47

    43

    43

    40

    37

    24

    22

    22

    10

    3

    2

    0

    Will any AI-created song make the Billboard Global 200 before 2029?

    Jan 12, 4:35 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    64.94%chance
    201136

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1270

    816

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    858

    58

    AI-generated album enters the Billboard 200 before 2030?

    Aug 11, 2:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    51.32%chance
    9198

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    103

    97

    Billie Eilish releases a #1 Billboard album in 2026?

    Oct 27, 10:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    35.2%chance
    5142

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    236

    174

    What will be true of Olivia Rodrigo's next album?

    Mar 17, 12:57 PMMay 17, 12:29 PM
    7119

    OptionProbability

    It will have a Metacritic rating of 60% or higher one week post-release

    It will debut at #1 on Spotify's global albums chart

    Pitchfork will describe at least one song as pop-punk

    It will have a four-letter title

    It will have more than 12 songs

    It will debut at #1 on the Billboard 200

    Pitchfork will rate it higher than SOUR (>7.0)

    It will have a Metacritic rating of 90% or higher one week post-release

    Pitchfork will describe at least one song as a 'ballad'

    Pitchfork will rate it higher than GUTS (>8.0)

    65

    61

    59

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    48

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