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Prediction markets for Bluesky
OptionProbability
43
5
4
2
2
1
Will Bluesky social have more monthly active users than Twitter by March 1st, 2028?
Mar 1, 1:34 AMMar 1, 3:00 AM
8.34%chance
496394
OptionVotes
2621
696
OptionProbability
1092
154
OptionProbability
98
1
0
0
0
0
0
How many constellation links will be indexed by Bluesky at the end of 2026?
May 27, 3:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
61169
OptionProbability
99
98
97
96
95
94
93
Will liberals lose the 2026 midterms because of Bluesky?
Nov 28, 2:26 PMDec 1, 10:59 PM
5.7%chance
20609
OptionVotes
407
25
Will Bluesky exceed 50 million monthly active users before December 31, 2026?
Dec 10, 3:58 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
20%chance
10471
OptionVotes
200
50
OptionProbability
87
9
2
2
Most blocked non-government account on Bluesky at the end of 2026
Dec 31, 9:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7211
OptionProbability
86
6
5
3
OptionProbability
210
122
OptionProbability
148
52
Will the AT Protocol (bluesky) end up being used as a distributed ledger?
Aug 20, 8:00 AMJun 26, 11:59 AM
30.88%chance
251
OptionVotes
150
67
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