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Prediction markets for Blur
In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?
Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
27%chance
1459501
OptionVotes
6094
4376
How much time will Jair Bolsonaro spend in jail (not house arrest) by Dec 31, 2031?
Sep 12, 1:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
113876
OptionProbability
100
100
62
46
46
22
0
What will be the first celestial body other than Earth, Moon and Mars to be visited by humans?
Apr 2, 1:15 PMApr 10, 3:59 AM
263346
OptionProbability
51
17
16
8
5
1
1
1
Will Anthropic’s private valuation exceed 50% of OpenAI’s in their next funding rounds?
Feb 8, 4:07 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM
96.46%chance
291493
OptionVotes
522
19
Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?
May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
40.19%chance
122
OptionVotes
122
82