Board News

Fed Ends 2023 ‘Novel Activities’ Program, Easing Crypto Oversight for Banks

10 months ago

San Mateo County Opens 10-Day Hearing to Remove Sheriff Christina Corpus

California

Politics

United States

San Mateo County Opens 10-Day Hearing to Remove Sheriff Christina Corpus

10 months ago

US Legislation

Economics

Politics

Fed Cites Statutory Guardrails Protecting Governors From Political Firing

10 months ago

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.04%chance

323660136

OptionVotes

YES

2856

2146

Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?

Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.51%chance

6169704

OptionVotes

YES

46020

2173

Members of the Board of Peace?

Jan 20, 4:29 AMDec 31, 4:11 AM

3722212

OptionProbability

Tony Blair (former UK Prime Minister)

Viktor Orbán (Hungarian Prime Minister)

Tô Lâm (Vietnamese Communist Party Secretary General)

Javier Milei (Argentine President)

Edi Rama (Albanian Prime Minister)

Santiago Peña (Paraguayan President)

Recep Tayyip Erdogan (Turkish President)

Shehbaz Sharif (Pakistani Prime Minister)

Benjamin Netanyahu (Israeli Prime Minister)

Marco Rubio (US Secretary of State)

Steve Witkoff (US Special Envoy)

Jared Kushner (Trump's son-in-law)

Marc Rowan (Finance billionaire)

Ajay Banga (President of World Bank)

Robert Gabriel (US Security Adviser)

Nickolay Mladenov (Bulgarian diplomat)

Alexander Lukashenko (Belarusian President)

Vladimir Putin (Russian President)

Narendra Modi (Indian Prime Minister)

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Brazilian President)

United Kingdom

Anthony Albanese (Australian Prime Minister)

Mark Carney (Canadian Prime Minister)

Giorgia Meloni (Italian Prime Minister)

Xi Jinping (Chinese Communist Party Secretary General)

Ursula von der Leyen (EU Commission President)

Emmanuel Macron (French President)

100

Will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, before the S&P 500 ceases to exist?

Feb 16, 8:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.47%chance

188357

OptionVotes

YES

944

888

Would an AI be capable of constructing a non-brute, ultraweak proof of chess for this board state by 2030?

Jun 26, 8:30 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

47.84%chance

125581

OptionVotes

YES

10661

9352

Which rocket will launch from Earth with humans on board first?

Jan 3, 11:48 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

254655

OptionProbability

Starship

New Glenn

Vulcan

None will ever launch with humans

Movie/TV show about Sam Altman's Firing from OpenAI / Battle of the Board, before 2027?

Jun 3, 10:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

76%chance

232243

OptionVotes

YES

1780

562

Will Sam Altman join the board of a current S&P 500 company by 2028?

Jan 23, 3:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.63%chance

211065

OptionVotes

YES

1010

986

"Board of Peace" established before 2027?

Sep 30, 8:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.11%chance

18892

OptionVotes

YES

1081

925

NYC Rent Guidelines Board Approved Increase for One-Year Leases (2026)

May 25, 1:11 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

3580

OptionProbability

0% or decrease

0.01-5%

5.01-10%

10%+

Will there be a slay the spire, the board game, version in the steam store?

Jun 8, 1:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

45.42%chance

4200

OptionVotes

YES

1096

912

Will "OpenAI #12: Battle of the Board Redux" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Dec 10, 3:29 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1000

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Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
US Legislation
Economics
Politics
Fed Cites Statutory Guardrails Protecting Governors From Political Firing
Authors
4
10 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
California
Politics
United States
San Mateo County Opens 10-Day Hearing to Remove Sheriff Christina Corpus
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10 months ago
Aug 15, 2025
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Law
Regulation
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Fed Ends 2023 ‘Novel Activities’ Program, Easing Crypto Oversight for Banks
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10 months ago

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Prediction markets for Board

Prediction markets for Board

Prediction markets for Board

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?

Members of the Board of Peace?

Will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, before the S&P 500 ceases to exist?

Would an AI be capable of constructing a non-brute, ultraweak proof of chess for this board state by 2030?

Which rocket will launch from Earth with humans on board first?

Movie/TV show about Sam Altman's Firing from OpenAI / Battle of the Board, before 2027?

Will Sam Altman join the board of a current S&P 500 company by 2028?

"Board of Peace" established before 2027?

NYC Rent Guidelines Board Approved Increase for One-Year Leases (2026)

Will there be a slay the spire, the board game, version in the steam store?

Will "OpenAI #12: Battle of the Board Redux" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Latest stories

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