Board News

Fed Ends 2023 ‘Novel Activities’ Program, Easing Crypto Oversight for Banks

1 year ago

San Mateo County Opens 10-Day Hearing to Remove Sheriff Christina Corpus

California

Politics

United States

San Mateo County Opens 10-Day Hearing to Remove Sheriff Christina Corpus

1 year ago

US Legislation

Economics

Politics

Fed Cites Statutory Guardrails Protecting Governors From Political Firing

1 year ago

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.11%chance

326670177

OptionVotes

YES

2783

2296

Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?

Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.64%chance

6375627

OptionVotes

YES

45332

2206

Will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, before the S&P 500 ceases to exist?

Feb 16, 8:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.47%chance

188357

OptionVotes

YES

944

888

Would an AI be capable of constructing a non-brute, ultraweak proof of chess for this board state by 2030?

Jun 26, 8:30 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

47.84%chance

125581

OptionVotes

YES

10661

9352

Movie/TV show about Sam Altman's Firing from OpenAI / Battle of the Board, before 2027?

Jun 3, 10:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.24%chance

263003

OptionVotes

YES

2015

496

Will Sam Altman join the board of a current S&P 500 company by 2028?

Jan 23, 3:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.63%chance

211065

OptionVotes

YES

1010

986

"Board of Peace" established before 2027?

Sep 30, 8:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.11%chance

18892

OptionVotes

YES

1081

925

[Carlini questions] Chance off-the-shelf AI system can play as well as casual player on arbitrary board game given rules

Mar 24, 1:49 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7207

OptionProbability

By 2030

By 2027

Will there be a slay the spire, the board game, version in the steam store?

Jun 8, 1:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

45.42%chance

4200

OptionVotes

YES

1096

912

Will there be an official Undertale or Deltarune board game in development before March 2029?

Dec 13, 9:21 AMMar 2, 7:59 AM

18.38%chance

9150

OptionVotes

YES

274

101

Will XKCD or one of Randall Munroe's other projects get a board game before 2029?

Apr 1, 4:33 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

43.88%chance

325

OptionVotes

YES

133

109

Will "OpenAI #12: Battle of the Board Redux" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Dec 10, 3:29 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1000

Latest stories

Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
US Legislation
Economics
Politics
Fed Cites Statutory Guardrails Protecting Governors From Political Firing
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
California
Politics
United States
San Mateo County Opens 10-Day Hearing to Remove Sheriff Christina Corpus
Authors
3
1 year ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Law
Regulation
Business
Fed Ends 2023 ‘Novel Activities’ Program, Easing Crypto Oversight for Banks
Authors
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1 year ago

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Prediction markets for Board

Prediction markets for Board

Prediction markets for Board

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?

Will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, before the S&P 500 ceases to exist?

Would an AI be capable of constructing a non-brute, ultraweak proof of chess for this board state by 2030?

Movie/TV show about Sam Altman's Firing from OpenAI / Battle of the Board, before 2027?

Will Sam Altman join the board of a current S&P 500 company by 2028?

"Board of Peace" established before 2027?

[Carlini questions] Chance off-the-shelf AI system can play as well as casual player on arbitrary board game given rules

Will there be a slay the spire, the board game, version in the steam store?

Will there be an official Undertale or Deltarune board game in development before March 2029?

Will XKCD or one of Randall Munroe's other projects get a board game before 2029?

Will "OpenAI #12: Battle of the Board Redux" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Latest stories

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