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Board News

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74%chance

293621168

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2825

2569

Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?

Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.72%chance

5954539

OptionVotes

YES

NO

40585

2464

Will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, before the S&P 500 ceases to exist?

Feb 16, 8:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

85.97%chance

188342

OptionVotes

YES

NO

959

792

Movie/TV show about Sam Altman's Firing from OpenAI / Battle of the Board, before 2027?

Jun 3, 10:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.41%chance

231817

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1406

711

Would an AI be capable of constructing a non-brute, ultraweak proof of chess for this board state by 2030?

Jun 26, 8:30 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

48.71%chance

121255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10481

9520

Will Sam Altman join the board of a current S&P 500 company by 2028?

Jan 23, 3:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.63%chance

211065

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

986

Will we discover a chess player with ELO > 1500 cheating in an over-the-board chess tournament using anal devices by 2025?

Dec 22, 11:04 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

7.49%chance

21960

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1306

932

Will the board game The Queen's Dilemma be delivered by Dec 31, 2025?

Dec 11, 7:03 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

52.63%chance

6334

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1054

949

Will any US state enact and use a general wage board by 2030?

Feb 10, 6:46 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

9.66%chance

4201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

269

88

When will an artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company? [10 years bulk]

Apr 2, 9:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6171

Will there be a slay the spire, the board game, version in the steam store?

Jun 8, 1:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

47.74%chance

3150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

956

Will "The Game Board has been Flipped: Now is a goo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Feb 4, 2:49 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

10.57%chance

252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

96

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