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Top stories

Brazilian Senate Approves 'Projeto de Lei de Adultização' to Protect Children Online, Prohibits Bail for Pedophilia

Brazilian Senate Approves 'Projeto de Lei de Adultização' to Protect Children Online, Prohibits Bail for Pedophilia

Authors

8

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Brazilian Senate

Will Sergio Moro complete his term as Brazilian Senator?

Mar 31, 4:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.76%chance

6843

OptionVotes

YES

NO

302

70

Will Brazil withdraw from the BRICS organization by the end of 2026?

Oct 5, 12:49 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

8644

OptionProbability

No

Yes

97

3

Which STF judge will leave the court with less than 74 years old?

Mar 12, 3:32 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

9520

OptionProbability

Luís Roberto Barroso

Alexandre de Moraes

Flávio Dino

Dias Toffoli

Gilmar Mendes

Edson Fachin

Nunes Marques

André Mendonça

Cristiano Zanin

Luiz Fux

Cármen Lúcia

99

59

37

36

34

34

34

34

34

21

12

Will Marcos do Val complete his term as Brazilian Senator?

Feb 3, 9:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.85%chance

7410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

182

25

Will Brazilian Congress pass any income tax reform until the end of 2027?

Jul 29, 11:25 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

90%chance

9295

OptionVotes

NO

YES

319

51

Will Brazil revoke the new eVisa requirement for US citizens, cancel the border for USA passport holders in 2026?

Dec 20, 8:52 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

13.18%chance

7226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

257

39

Will Lula finish his fourth term as President of Brasil?

Oct 26, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83.68%chance

4222

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1220

952

When will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil?

Oct 28, 2:20 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

5180

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2028

Before Oct 2027

Before Jul 2027

Before Apr 2027

Before Jan 2027

63

45

28

17

5

Will Lula's 2026 Brazil election victory be overturned before 2029?

Oct 26, 2:52 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

8.01%chance

260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

93

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