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Prediction markets for Bridge
Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027?
Mar 26, 7:52 PMMar 27, 6:59 AM
95.33%chance
9910950
OptionVotes
2946
41
Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030
Aug 27, 5:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
38.89%chance
375903
OptionVotes
1094
742
Will a bridge across the Strait of Messina between mainland Italy and Sicily have started construction by 2030?
Jul 5, 9:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
56.25%chance
334974
OptionVotes
1211
786
Bridge built connecting any major Hawaiian islands through 2040
Aug 28, 2:03 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
12.58%chance
152795
OptionVotes
1091
950
Will Waymo give public driverless rides across the Golden Gate Bridge by the end of 2026?
Mar 17, 5:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.65%chance
192496
OptionVotes
2499
543
Will a replacement bridge for Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore be opened to traffic within 10 years of destruction?
Mar 29, 3:08 PMMar 28, 3:59 AM
82.68%chance
392256
OptionVotes
3072
1633
Will Sicily be connected with the mainland by a bridge before 2038?
Mar 18, 10:23 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
55.43%chance
222142
OptionVotes
1090
861
Will any car drive itself from the Empire State Building to the Golden Gate Bridge before April 2028?
Mar 14, 10:02 PMApr 1, 7:00 AM
31.32%chance
351387
OptionVotes
1371
650
OptionVotes
2094
771
OptionVotes
1250
800
Will the new Washington Bridge in Rhode Island be completed on time?
Feb 1, 6:02 PMDec 2, 11:59 PM
38.89%chance
5327
OptionVotes
1253
798
OptionProbability
33
33
33
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