Bund News
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Prediction markets for Bund
OptionProbability
76
10
5
4
3
3
Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
Feb 12, 9:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
14.74%chance
192320
OptionVotes
2405
416
Will an active male 1. Bundesliga player come out as homosexual / bi / queer before 2030?
May 31, 11:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
74.23%chance
181680
OptionVotes
1697
589
In which months of 2025 will there be a general federal election (Bundestagswahl) in Germany?
Nov 7, 1:45 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
171386
OptionProbability
100
3
3
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections?
Mar 6, 11:53 AMMar 25, 9:59 PM
55.58%chance
141292
OptionVotes
112
89
Will a popular contract break AA bundlers (e.g. ERC4337) via usage of EIP-1153 by end of 2025?
Jan 30, 5:09 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
84.35%chance
2443
OptionVotes
136
42
Will the broadly centrist parties still have a majority after the next German Bundestag election?
Apr 24, 9:34 PMMar 25, 12:59 AM
63%chance
7305
OptionVotes
1305
766
Will Jens Spahn step down as leader of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag in 2025?
Jun 25, 1:13 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
28.1%chance
8232
OptionVotes
160
63
Player breaks Lewandowski's scoring record next Bundesliga season?
May 26, 1:17 AMMay 25, 1:16 AM
10%chance
1200
OptionVotes
300
33
Which team will be the next 1. Bundesliga newcomer (after Holstein Kiel)?
May 23, 1:52 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
2100
OptionProbability
14
13
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
Will Borussia Dortmund's womens football team complete their speedrun and make it to the 1. Bundesliga by 2027?
Apr 8, 8:28 AMJul 1, 9:59 PM
60%chance
384
OptionVotes
161
123
Will Heye Groß win the Verdienstorden der Bundesrepublik Deutschland by EOY2060?
Sep 21, 6:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
41.23%chance
120
OptionVotes
119
84