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Prediction markets for Buy from Hold
Will Jim Fund's assets be worth more than $20,000,000 on Jan1'29
Nov 18, 5:55 AMNov 7, 10:59 AM
20.01%chance
410012
OptionVotes
15091
101
Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term?
Dec 24, 11:52 PMJan 21, 6:59 AM
14.31%chance
559781
OptionVotes
2447
409
Will I manage to achieve a sub-45 min 10k before @diadematus and 2026?
Jan 21, 7:40 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM
80.34%chance
84691
OptionVotes
2022
495
OptionProbability
441
280
Will Trump kill or neuter Vox or The Atlantic during his term?
Jan 16, 5:09 PMJan 20, 10:59 PM
13.59%chance
143292
OptionVotes
2522
397
Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?
May 3, 5:03 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM
50.5%chance
442809
OptionVotes
1066
868
Can anyone beat me in the Pokemon Monotype Gauntlet? [Rock vs Fire round]
Jan 16, 3:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
25.56%chance
11494
OptionVotes
1706
586
Will Elon Musk's investment in Twitter beat the NASDAQ?
Nov 20, 8:16 PMDec 31, 10:00 PM
19.12%chance
251442
OptionVotes
1616
756
Will Elon get margin called on the loans he took against his Tesla holdings to buy Twitter?
Mar 29, 12:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
11.08%chance
16673
OptionVotes
283
35
If Manifold adds the ability to place stop orders, will the people who asked for them regret it within a month?
Nov 5, 4:02 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
43.95%chance
15544
OptionVotes
1263
725
Robo-Palanquin - human-carrying robot available by mid 2034
May 21, 8:44 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
47.95%chance
5350
OptionVotes
1042
960
Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07?
Nov 8, 10:09 PMNov 8, 7:59 AM
52.44%chance
150
OptionVotes
1050
952
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