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Prediction markets for ByteDance
What will be the largest company in the world by market cap at the start of 2030
Oct 14, 3:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
210103496
OptionProbability
17
14
11
11
11
10
5
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
What will be the most valuable company in the world at the end of 2030?
Dec 14, 6:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5915861
OptionProbability
16
14
12
12
10
8
5
5
5
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
Which Chinese tech companies announce a formal AI partnership with a Russian entity before 2027?
Oct 29, 2:22 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
41525
OptionProbability
41
41
26
19
19
19
18
18
18
18
18
18
17
17
Will the TikTok Bill be used against other apps/websites before 2029?
Mar 15, 4:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
40.34%chance
12984
OptionVotes
300
228
Will Donald Trump enforce the ban on TikTok during his presidency?
Jan 17, 3:34 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM
59%chance
20983
OptionVotes
120
83
Who will publicly release the first language model to be credibly accused of being responsible for 100 deaths?
Oct 5, 2:30 AMDec 13, 7:59 AM
21733
OptionProbability
17
16
15
11
9
9
6
6
4
4
3
2
OptionProbability
76
9
6
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
87
13
OptionVotes
200
150
Will Zhang Yiming (founder of TikTok) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
May 19, 3:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.94%chance
5132
OptionVotes
222
53
OptionProbability
23
23
20
18
7
5
4
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