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Prediction markets for CADE
Which players will be submitted for the US Men's 2026 World Cup Roster
Mar 13, 7:43 PMAug 21, 3:59 AM
82171
OptionProbability
90
82
81
79
76
75
75
75
71
71
71
71
70
70
69
69
67
66
65
64
63
54
54
50
50
50
50
50
46
46
46
44
42
41
38
38
37
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
33
31
30
30
28
25
25
22
19
17
17
17
15
14
9
8
Will there be a serious neo-Luddite movement (complete with major organizations and funding topping ~$1 Million USD) by 2030?
Feb 3, 5:37 PMJan 3, 6:00 AM
72.74%chance
441951
OptionVotes
1309
783
Will "My Interview With Cade Metz on His Reporting ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Mar 26, 8:49 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
2.76%chance
6604
OptionVotes
796
163
Will an individual or governmental entity conduct a geoengineering project to lower global temperatures by 2030?
Aug 29, 1:00 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
353
OptionProbability
41
30
28
OptionProbability
26
25
20
20
10
What will be the maximum EPA-rated range for consumer electric vehicles (EVs) sold in the United States in 2025?
Aug 23, 5:32 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
245
OptionProbability
44
16
16
6
6
6
6