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Top stories

Residente to Perform Free Concert at Mexico City's Zócalo on September 6 at 8 p.m., Announced by Clara Brugada

Residente to Perform Free Concert at Mexico City's Zócalo on September 6 at 8 p.m., Announced by Clara Brugada

Authors

10

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Calle 13

Will Maduro die in U.S. custody?

Jan 3, 7:52 PMFeb 28, 7:51 PM

45.74%chance

7510384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

203

197

Will Lauren Boebert be re-elected to the House in 2026?

Feb 27, 11:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.69%chance

113665

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1144

669

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.59%chance

12744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

884

When will the two witnesses (prophets in sackcloth) begin to prophesy in Jerusalem, Israel

Apr 24, 8:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7648

OptionProbability

2026

2025

2027

2028

2029

33

23

17

14

14

Will Maduro be released from U.S. custody before his wife?

Jan 3, 7:51 PMDec 31, 7:49 PM

17.51%chance

9253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

217

46

If Satoshi is alive in 2025, was (s)he at Bitcoin 2024?

Dec 28, 4:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.83%chance

5204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

143

70

Will James Fishback get more than 9% of the vote in the 2026 Florida Gubernatorial GOP Primary?

Feb 10, 2:57 AMAug 25, 11:59 PM

52.45%chance

7188

OptionVotes

NO

YES

317

284

When will Asahi Linux be ready enough for me to take a Zoom call on a 2024 M3 MacBook Pro?

Feb 25, 5:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2157

OptionProbability

2027

2028

Jul-Sep 2026

Oct-Dec 2026

Mar-Jun 2026

2029

2030

2031-2035

2036+

34

22

16

8

4

4

4

4

4

Buffet Indicator on Nov 2026?

Nov 15, 6:12 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

485

OptionProbability

201%-250%

101%-150%

151%-200%

51%-100%

251%+

0%-50%

23

19

19

16

15

8

Will my net worth be 6 figures when I graduate middle school?

Dec 28, 6:02 PMJun 1, 6:02 PM

40.71%chance

474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

121

83

Console : Sony PlayStation 5

Jun 23, 6:15 PMJun 30, 6:14 PM

26.16%chance

168

OptionVotes

YES

NO

168

60

Will Derek Thompson run for office by EOY 2030?

Apr 28, 7:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.49%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

151

66

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