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Prediction markets for Canary
Prediction markets for Canary
2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.
Mar 11, 12:09 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
71.93%
chance
16
3414
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1009
979
Brave Browser security/privacy scandal by 2030?
Mar 1, 3:09 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
29.35%
chance
4
200
Option
Votes
YES
NO
211
96
Will "Non-Disparagement Canaries for OpenAI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
May 31, 3:38 AM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
16.19%
chance
3
160
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1024
863
Will "BIG-Bench Canary Contamination in GPT-4" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Nov 9, 3:50 AM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
14%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
Message me my main identity (loss of anonymity canary).
Nov 12, 9:07 PM
0
0
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