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Canva News

    Prediction markets for Canva

    Which companies will successfully launch an IPO in 2025?

    Jan 4, 5:10 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
    2622218

    OptionProbability

    Chime (Bank)

    Figma

    Klarna

    Stubhub

    Circle

    Navan

    Coreweave

    Netskope

    eToro

    SAS (SAS Institute)

    Harry's Inc.

    Shein

    Neo4j

    Lime

    Panera

    Liquid Death

    Gusto

    Canva

    Flexport

    Databricks

    Discord

    Plaid

    Revolut

    Kraken

    Brex

    Turo

    OnlyFans

    SKIMS

    Airtable

    Anduril

    Grammarly

    Notion

    Stripe

    Neuralink

    Starlink

    Twitter / 𝕏 / X.com

    Lego

    Cerebras Systems

    SpaceX

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    17

    15

    12

    10

    9

    8

    8

    8

    8

    8

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    6

    6

    6

    6

    5

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    1

    1

    8. OpenAI, Anthropic and other frontier labs will begin ‘moving up the stack,’ [...] building applications

    Dec 27, 8:22 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM
    94.68%chance
    173443

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    4220

    237

    Will an AI agent be able to draw a mid-2024-diffusion-model-quality image in a standard drawing program by 2027?

    Sep 2, 6:22 PMJan 1, 6:59 PM
    59.87%chance
    10781

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1224

    822

    What will happen on wplace.live by EOY?

    Sep 1, 2:31 AMJan 1, 3:06 AM
    6160

    OptionProbability

    Interactive pixel canvas live on wplace.live

    Online but static/non-interactive page

    Entire country taken over by Deltarune

    Redirects to a different domain

    Domain parked/for-sale/placeholder page

    Down/unreachable (DNS/timeout/4xx/5xx)

    Atlantic Bridge complete

    Other

    69

    7

    6

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    Masterpiece paintings stock

    Jul 9, 1:08 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    4157

    OptionProbability

    Impression, Sunrise (Claude Monet 1872)

    Eclipse of the Sun (George Grosz, 1926)

    Other

    Mona Lisa (Leonardo da Vinci, c. 1503–1506)

    Starry Night (Vincent van Gogh, 1889)

    The Scream (Edvard Munch, 1893)

    The Creation of Adam (Michelangelo, 1511–1512)

    The Great Wave off Kanagawa (Katsushika Hokusai, 1831)

    The Persistence of Memory (Salvador Dalí, 1931)

    The Kiss (Gustav Klimt, 1907–1908)

    Guernica (Pablo Picasso, 1937)

    Reddit r/place canvas (Reddit users, 2017)

    The Night Watch (Rembrandt van Rijn, 1642)

    10

    10

    10

    9

    9

    9

    9

    9

    7

    6

    5

    5

    3

    Will Canva join the S&P 500?

    Dec 31, 9:23 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    31.4%chance
    776

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    205

    147

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