CAS News

Crystal Palace Loses CAS Appeal Over UEFA Ownership Rules, Demoted to Conference League for 2025-26 Season; Nottingham Forest Replaces Them

4 months ago

Will there be a "large-scale bird flu outbreak" (100+ human confirmed H5N1 cases) in the US by the end of 2025?

Mar 26, 2:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.12%chance

225189797

OptionVotes

YES

44466

1857

How many H5N1 human cases will there be in the USA by end of 2025, according to CDC?

Jan 2, 3:30 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

75131618

OptionProbability

Under 101 cases

101 - 1000 cases

1001 - 10,000 cases

10,001 - 100,000 cases

100,001 - 1,000,000 cases

1,000,001 - 10,000,000 cases

Other

"Massive anti-AI preference cascade based on xrisk" by end of 2025?

Jul 19, 10:35 PMDec 31, 10:24 PM

4.27%chance

150113839

OptionVotes

YES

47371

2111

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

Apr 21, 4:34 AMDec 31, 6:00 PM

6%chance

5392680

OptionVotes

YES

2685

792

Will there be 10k or more human cases of H5N1 in the US by the end of 2025?

Dec 21, 11:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.41%chance

15051785

OptionVotes

YES

11561

590

Will Trump successfully appeal the hush money case?

Apr 17, 12:57 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

76.69%chance

7140773

OptionVotes

YES

1839

253

Is Cassava ($SAVA) fraudulent...

Aug 31, 3:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1039528

OptionProbability

Yes, and Simufilam is too

No, and Simufilam doesn't work

Yes, but Simufilam works

No, and Simufilam works

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?

Dec 18, 3:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

3415050

OptionVotes

YES

6351

3156

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Jan 20, 2:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

20%chance

3814920

OptionVotes

YES

18124

6187

Will the US sustain more than 100 casualties in 2025 as a result of the conflict with Iran?

Jun 22, 2:33 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

3.32%chance

221273

OptionVotes

YES

540

Will there be at least one calendar year with no reported wild polio cases before 2030?

Nov 2, 9:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

57.66%chance

9181

OptionVotes

YES

1490

1488

Which will be the first Chinese orbital-class reusable rocket stage to land vertically?

Nov 29, 12:31 PMNov 29, 12:26 PM

385

OptionProbability

Zhuque-3 (LandSpace)

Long March 12A (SAST/CASC)

Tianlong-3 (Space Pioneer)

Kinetica-2/Lijian-2 (CAS Space)

Other

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Aug 11, 2025
Aug 11, 2025
Britain
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Soccer
Crystal Palace Loses CAS Appeal Over UEFA Ownership Rules, Demoted to Conference League for 2025-26 Season; Nottingham Forest Replaces Them
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4 months ago

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Will there be a "large-scale bird flu outbreak" (100+ human confirmed H5N1 cases) in the US by the end of 2025?

How many H5N1 human cases will there be in the USA by end of 2025, according to CDC?

"Massive anti-AI preference cascade based on xrisk" by end of 2025?

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

Will there be 10k or more human cases of H5N1 in the US by the end of 2025?

Will Trump successfully appeal the hush money case?

Is Cassava ($SAVA) fraudulent...

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Will the US sustain more than 100 casualties in 2025 as a result of the conflict with Iran?

Will there be at least one calendar year with no reported wild polio cases before 2030?

Which will be the first Chinese orbital-class reusable rocket stage to land vertically?

Latest stories

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